Editing Demographics of Bulgaria (section)

===Present-day===

A total of 64,984 live births were recorded in Bulgaria in 2016, giving the country a crude birth rate of 9.1‰.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.nsi.bg/en/content/6623/live-births-districts-municipalities-and-sex|title=Live births by districts, municipalities and sex - National statistical institute|website=www.nsi.bg|access-date=14 March 2018|archive-date=15 March 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180315133635/http://www.nsi.bg/en/content/6623/live-births-districts-municipalities-and-sex|url-status=dead}}</ref>

Bulgaria has a low [[total fertility rate]] of 1.58 children per woman (according to the 2021 Census). This is up significantly from the late 1990s, but still below replacement and not enough to prevent further population decline, especially with emigration. Provinces with large Roma populations (for example [[Sliven Province|Sliven]], [[Montana Province|Montana]] and [[Yambol Province|Yambol]]) tend to have higher fertility rates (and higher death rates) compared to other areas, whereas Turkish fertility is similar to the Bulgarian majority.<ref>{{cite news|title=Bulgaria Writes New Chapter In Long Story Of Demographic Decline|url=https://balkaninsight.com/2020/07/09/bulgaria-writes-new-chapter-in-long-story-of-demographic-decline/|date=9 July 2020|access-date=28 October 2020|first=Timothy|last=Judah|newspaper=The Economist|publisher=[[Balkan Insight]]}}</ref> The average number of (live births) children in 2021 was 1.47 for all women (aged 12 or more), ranging from 0.04 children for women between the ages of 12-19 to 1.92 children per women between the ages of 70-79. The distribution by ethnicity shows that only among women who identify themselves as belonging to the Roma ethnic group, the average number of children is sufficient for simple reproduction - 2.25 children, mainly because of the significantly younger age structure and low educational level of this group, followed by the Turkish ethnic group with 1.79 children and 1.41 children for women who self-identified as belonging to the Bulgarian ethnic.<ref>{{cite news|title= NSI - Birth rate, final data|url=https://www.nsi.bg/sites/default/files/files/pressreleases/Census2021-Fertility_en.pdf|date=2021|access-date=22 October 2022|publisher=[[National Statistical Institute (Bulgaria)]]}}</ref> The distribution of the average number of live births by religion changes from 1.83 children for Muslim women and 1.82 children for Protestant women, followed by 'other Christian' (1.63), Eastern Orthodox (1.43), Catholic (1.36), Jewish (1.27) and Armenian Apostolic (1.26). Women without religion had an average number of 1.40 children.

[[File:Vital statistics Bulgaria.tif|800px|frameless|left|Births and deaths, Bulgaria 1900-2015]]
<br>
<gallery widths=180>
File:Bulgaria map birth rate by region 2014.svg|Birth rate in 2014
File:Bulgaria total fertility rate by region 2013.png|Fertility rate in 2013
File:Bulgaria total fertility rate by region 2014.png|Fertility rate in 2014
File:Графика на раждаемостта и смъртността в България.JPG|Bulgaria's deaths and births (2005–2009).
</gallery>

[[File:Fertility rate of Bulgaria.GIF|thumb|right|upright=2.5|Fertility rate (1980–2010)]]
{| class="wikitable sortable"
|+ Total fertility rate and crude birth rate by province in 2010 and from 2016 to 2024 (NSI)<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.nsi.bg/en/content/6615/total-fertility-rate-statistical-regions-districts-and-place-residence|title=Total fertility rate by statistical regions, districts and place of residence - National statistical institute|website=www.nsi.bg|access-date=28 January 2018|archive-date=20 March 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180320150417/http://www.nsi.bg/en/content/6615/total-fertility-rate-statistical-regions-districts-and-place-residence|url-status=dead}}</ref><ref name="TFR NSI">{{cite web|url=https://www.nsi.bg/en/content/2970/total-fertility-rate-statistical-regions-districts-and-place-residence|title=Total fertility rate by statistical regions, districts and place of residence - National statistical institute|website=www.nsi.bg}}</ref>
|-
!Province
! TFR (2010) || TFR (2016) || TFR (2017) || TFR (2018) || TFR (2019) || TFR (2020) || TFR (2021) || TFR (2022) || TFR (2023) || TFR (2024)
|-
|style="background:#EAECF0;" | [[Severozapaden Planning Region|Northwest Region]]
|style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.53 ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.72 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.72 {{steady}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.75 {{decrease}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.77 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.75 {{decrease}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.73 {{decrease}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.92 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.94 {{increase}} || style="background:#EAECF0;" | '''1.91''' {{decrease}}
|-
|[[Vidin Province|Vidin]]
| 1.50 || 1.45 {{decrease}} || 1.58 {{increase}} || | 1.68 {{increase}} || 1.65 {{decrease}}|| 1.45 {{decrease}}|| 1.64 {{increase}}|| 1.83 {{increase}} || 1.92 {{increase}} || 1.93 {{increase}}
|-
|[[Vratsa Province|Vratsa]]
| 1.46 || 1.77 {{increase}} || 1.68 {{decrease}} || | 1.81 {{increase}} || 1.83 {{increase}}|| 1.85 {{increase}}|| 1.76 {{decrease}}|| 1.84 {{increase}} || 1.92 {{increase}} || 1.92 {{steady}}
|-
|[[Lovech Province|Lovech]]
| 1.58 || 1.66 {{increase}} || 1.79 {{increase}} || 1.89 {{increase}} || 1.84 {{decrease}} || 1.91 {{increase}}|| 1.88 {{decrease}} || style="color: blue"| 2.11 {{increase}} || 2.06 {{decrease}} || 2.09 {{increase}}
|-
|[[Montana Province|Montana]]
| 1.52 || 1.74 {{increase}} || 1.65 {{decrease}} || 1.67 {{increase}} || 1.62 {{decrease}} || 1.63 {{increase}}|| 1.73 {{increase}}|| 1.87 {{increase}} || 1.91 {{increase}} || 1.90 {{decrease}}
|-
|[[Pleven Province|Pleven]]
| 1.56 || 1.80 {{increase}} || 1.79 {{decrease}} || | 1.71 {{decrease}} || 1.81 {{increase}} || 1.76 {{decrease}} || 1.66 {{decrease}} || 1.93 {{increase}} || 1.92 {{decrease}} || 1.83 {{decrease}}
|-
|style="background:#EAECF0;" | [[Severen Tsentralen Planning Region|North Central Region]]
|style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.32 ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.45 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.45 {{steady}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.45 {{steady}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.43 {{decrease}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.37 {{decrease}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.43 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.73 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.79 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | '''1.62''' {{decrease}}
|-
|[[Veliko Tarnovo Province|Veliko Tarnovo]]
| 1.19 || 1.40 {{increase}} || 1.43 {{increase}} || 1.34 {{decrease}} || 1.27 {{decrease}} || 1.25 {{decrease}} || 1.35 {{increase}} || 1.69 {{increase}} || 1.74 {{increase}} || 1.57 {{decrease}}
|-
|[[Gabrovo Province|Gabrovo]]
| 1.43 || 1.41 {{decrease}} || 1.49 {{increase}} || 1.58 {{increase}} || 1.69 {{increase}} || 1.46 {{decrease}} || 1.43 {{decrease}} || 1.86 {{increase}} || 1.79 {{decrease}} || 1.71 {{decrease}}
|-
|[[Razgrad Province|Razgrad]]
| 1.37 || 1.49 {{increase}} || 1.48 {{decrease}} || 1.65 {{increase}} || 1.60 {{decrease}} || 1.50 {{decrease}} || 1.53 {{increase}} || 1.70 {{increase}} || 1.77 {{increase}} || 1.50 {{decrease}}
|-
|[[Ruse Province|Ruse]]
| 1.34 || 1.40 {{increase}}|| 1.37 {{decrease}} || 1.41 {{increase}} || 1.30 {{decrease}} || 1.34 {{increase}} || 1.40 {{increase}} || 1.60 {{increase}} || 1.71 {{increase}} || 1.62 {{decrease}}
|-
|[[Silistra Province|Silistra]]
| 1.49 ||  1.77 {{increase}}|| 1.71 {{decrease}} || 1.55 {{decrease}} || 1.76 {{increase}}|| 1.58 {{decrease}} || 1.60 {{increase}} || 2.01 {{increase}} || 2.08 {{increase}} || 1.86 {{decrease}}
|-
|style="background:#EAECF0;" | [[Severoiztochen Planning Region|Northeast Region]]
|style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.53 ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.50 {{decrease}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.48 {{decrease}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.49 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.52 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.45 {{decrease}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.46 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.75 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.76 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | '''1.63''' {{decrease}}
|-
|[[Varna Province|Varna]]
| 1.57 || 1.45 {{decrease}} || 1.44 {{decrease}} || 1.44 {{steady}} || 1.47 {{increase}} || 1.49 {{increase}} || 1.49 {{steady}} || 1.68 {{increase}} || 1.64 {{decrease}} || 1.56 {{decrease}}
|-
|[[Dobrich Province|Dobrich]]
| 1.44 || 1.53 {{increase}} || 1.51 {{decrease}} || 1.44 {{decrease}} || 1.56 {{increase}} || 1.44 {{decrease}} || 1.37 {{decrease}} || 1.78 {{increase}} || 1.94 {{increase}} || 1.71 {{decrease}}
|-
|[[Targovishte Province|Targovishte]]
| 1.67 || 1.59 {{decrease}}|| 1.57 {{decrease}} || 1.63 {{increase}} || 1.61 {{decrease}} || 1.41 {{decrease}} || 1.46 {{increase}} || 1.91 {{increase}} || 1.93 {{increase}} || 1.88 {{decrease}}
|-
|[[Shumen Province|Shumen]]
| 1.42 || 1.54 {{increase}} || 1.45 {{decrease}} || 1.53 {{increase}} || 1.51 {{decrease}} || 1.35 {{decrease}} || 1.39 {{increase}} || 1.92 {{increase}} || 1.87 {{decrease}} || 1.67 {{decrease}}
|-
|style="background:#EAECF0;" | [[Yugoiztochen Planning Region|Southeast Region]]
|style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.67 ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.82 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.88 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.84 {{decrease}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.87 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.82 {{decrease}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.82 {{steady}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 2.01 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0; color: blue" | 2.14 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | '''2.03''' {{decrease}}
|-
|[[Burgas Province|Burgas]]
| 1.54 || 1.63 {{increase}} || 1.65 {{increase}} || 1.61 {{decrease}} || 1.69 {{increase}} || 1.59 {{decrease}} || 1.57 {{decrease}} || 1.76 {{increase}} || 1.88 {{increase}} || 1.70 {{decrease}}
|-
|[[Sliven Province|Sliven]]
| 1.95 || style="color: blue"| 2.24 {{increase}} || style="color: blue"| 2.34 {{increase}} || style="color: blue"| 2.27 {{decrease}} || style="color: blue"| 2.35 {{increase}}|| style="color: blue"| 2.24 {{decrease}} || style="color: blue"| 2.29 {{increase}} || style="color: blue"| 2.57 {{increase}} || style="color: blue"| 2.60 {{increase}} || style="color: blue"| 2.59 {{decrease}}
|-
|[[Stara Zagora Province|Stara Zagora]]
| 1.64 || 1.73 {{increase}} || 1.80 {{increase}} || 1.76 {{decrease}} || 1.72 {{decrease}} || 1.73 {{increase}} || 1.73 {{steady}} || 1.84 {{increase}} || 2.05 {{increase}} || 1.96 {{decrease}}
|-
|[[Yambol Province|Yambol]]
| 1.70 || 1.98 {{increase}} || 2,00 {{increase}} || style="color: blue"| 2.13 {{increase}} || 2.06 {{decrease}}|| 2.08 {{increase}} || 2.07 {{decrease}} || style="color: blue"| 2.35 {{increase}} || style="color: blue"| 2.43 {{increase}} || style="color: blue"| 2.45 {{increase}}
|-
|style="background:#EAECF0;" | [[Yugozapaden Planning Region|Southwest Region]]
|style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.42 ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.36 {{decrease}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.38 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.38 {{steady}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.42 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.44 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.47 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.59 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.62 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | '''1.55''' {{decrease}}
|-
|[[Blagoevgrad Province|Blagoevgrad]]
| 1.46 || 1.46 {{steady}} || 1.45 {{decrease}} || 1.50 {{increase}} || 1.62 {{increase}} || 1.61 {{decrease}} || 1.62 {{increase}} || 1.63 {{increase}} || 1.77 {{increase}} || 1.66 {{decrease}}
|-
|[[Kyustendil Province|Kyustendil]]
| 1.33 || 1.63 {{increase}} || 1.75 {{increase}} || 1.76 {{increase}} || 1.95 {{increase}} || 1.77 {{decrease}} || 1.76 {{decrease}} || 1.82 {{increase}} || 1.81 {{decrease}} || 1.78 {{decrease}}
|-
|[[Pernik Province|Pernik]]
| 1.35 || 1.62 {{increase}} || 1.66 {{increase}} || 1.73 {{increase}} || 1.68 {{decrease}} || 1.54 {{decrease}} || 1.67 {{increase}} || 1.53 {{decrease}} || 1.47 {{decrease}} || 1.40 {{decrease}}
|-
|[[Sofia Province|Sofia]]
| 1.45 || 1.74 {{increase}} || 1.73 {{decrease}} || 1.80 {{increase}} || 1.91 {{increase}} || 1.90 {{decrease}} || 1.92 {{increase}} || 1.90 {{decrease}} || 1.98 {{increase}} || 1.90 {{decrease}}
|-
|[[Sofia]] (city)
| 1.39 || 1.27 {{decrease}} || 1.29 {{increase}} || 1.26 {{decrease}} || 1.28 {{increase}} || 1.33 {{increase}} || 1.36 {{increase}} || 1.51 {{increase}} || 1.53 {{increase}} || 1.47 {{decrease}}
|-
|style="background:#EAECF0;" | [[Yuzhen Tsentralen Planning Region|South Central Region]]
|style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.50 ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.61 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.65 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.65 {{steady}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.66 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.59 {{decrease}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.59 {{steady}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.82 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | 1.88 {{increase}} ||style="background:#EAECF0;" | '''1.75''' {{decrease}}
|-
|[[Kardzhali Province|Kardzhali]]
| 1.49 || 1.64 {{increase}} || 1.66 {{increase}} || 1.70 {{increase}} || 1.74 {{increase}} || 1.49 {{decrease}} || 1.31 {{decrease}} || 1.78 {{increase}} || 1.89 {{increase}} || 1.51 {{decrease}}
|-
|[[Pazardzhik Province|Pazardzhik]]
| 1.58 || 1.72 {{increase}} || 1.75 {{increase}} || 1.85 {{increase}} || 1.81 {{decrease}} || 1.70 {{decrease}} || 1.57 {{decrease}} || 2.02 {{increase}} || style="color: blue"| 2.22 {{increase}} || 2.03 {{decrease}}
|-
|[[Plovdiv Province|Plovdiv]]
| 1.49 || 1.56 {{increase}} || 1.60 {{increase}} || 1.61 {{increase}} || 1.60 {{decrease}} || 1.58 {{decrease}} || 1.63 {{increase}} || 1.82 {{increase}} || 1.84 {{increase}} || 1.74 {{decrease}}
|-
|[[Smolyan Province|Smolyan]]
| 1.33 || 1.45 {{increase}} || 1.47 {{increase}} || 1.40 {{decrease}} || 1.49 {{increase}} || 1.49 {{steady}} || 1.48 {{decrease}} || 1.33 {{decrease}} || 1.45 {{increase}} || 1.54 {{increase}}
|-
|[[Haskovo Province|Haskovo]]
| 1.53 || 1.70 {{increase}} || 1.75 {{increase}} || 1.62 {{decrease}} || 1.71 {{increase}}|| 1.59 {{decrease}} || 1.63 {{increase}} || 1.82 {{increase}} || 1.83 {{increase}} || 1.77 {{decrease}}
|-
! [[Bulgaria]] || 1.49 || 1.54 {{increase}} || 1.56 {{increase}} || 1.56 {{steady}} || 1.58 {{increase}}|| 1.56 {{decrease}} || {{increase}} 1.58 || {{increase}} 1.78 || {{increase}} 1.81 || {{decrease}} 1.72
|}