Editing Kardashev scale

{{Short description|Measure of a civilization's evolution}}
{{Redirect2|The Kardashev Scale|Galactic civilization|the album by Greydon Square|The Kardashev Scale (album){{!}}''The Kardashev Scale'' (album)|the video game|Galactic Civilizations{{!}}''Galactic Civilizations''}}

The '''Kardashev scale''' ({{langx|ru|шкала Кардашёва|shkala Kardashyova}}) is a method of measuring a [[civilization]]'s level of [[technology|technological]] advancement based on the amount of [[energy]] it is capable of harnessing and using. The measure was proposed by Soviet astronomer [[Nikolai Kardashev]] in 1964,<ref name=Kardashev-1964 /> and was named after him.

Kardashev first outlined his scale in a paper presented at the 1964 conference that communicated findings on BS-29-76, [[Byurakan Conference]] in the [[Armenian Soviet Socialist Republic|Armenian SSR]], which he initiated, a scientific meeting that reviewed the Soviet [[radio astronomy]] space listening program. The paper was titled "{{lang|ru|Передача информации внеземными цивилизациями}}" ("Transmission of Information by Extraterrestrial Civilizations").<ref name="Kardashev-1964">{{Cite journal |last=Kardashev |first=Nikolai S. |date=1964 |title=Transmission of information by extraterrestrial civilizations |url=https://articles.adsabs.harvard.edu/pdf/1964SvA.....8..217K |url-status=live |format=PDF |journal=Soviet Astronomy |volume=8 |page=217 |bibcode=1964SvA.....8..217K |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220112113141/https://articles.adsabs.harvard.edu/pdf/1964SvA.....8..217K |archive-date=2022-01-12 |access-date=2023-08-24}}</ref> Starting from a functional definition of civilization, based on the immutability of [[physical law]]s and using [[human civilization]] as a model for [[extrapolation]], Kardashev's initial model was developed. He proposed a classification of civilizations into three types, based on the [[axiom]] of [[exponential growth]]:
*A [[Planetary civilization|'''Type&nbsp;I''' civilization]] is able to access all the [[energy]] available on its [[planet]] and store it for consumption.
*A '''Type&nbsp;II''' civilization can directly consume a [[star]]'s energy, most likely through the use of a [[Dyson sphere]].
*A '''Type&nbsp;III''' civilization is able to capture all the energy emitted by its [[galaxy]], and every object within it, such as every star, [[black hole]], etc.

Under this scale, the sum of human civilization does not reach Type I status, though it continues to approach it. Extensions of the scale have since been proposed, including a wider range of power levels (Types&nbsp;0, IV, and V) and the use of metrics other than pure power, e.g., [[Moore's Law|computational growth]] or [[bioenergetics|food consumption]].<ref name="Kaku-2007" /><ref name="Entering Space" />

In a second article, entitled "Strategies of Searching for Extraterrestrial Intelligence", published in 1980, Kardashev wonders about the ability of a civilization, which he defines by its ability to access energy, to sustain itself, and to integrate information from its environment.<ref name="Kardashev-1980" /> Two more articles followed: "On the Inevitability and the Possible Structure of Super Civilizations" and "Cosmology and Civilizations", published in 1985 and 1997, respectively;<ref name="Kardashev1985">{{Cite book |last=Kardashev |first=Nikolai S. |chapter=On the Inevitability and the Possible Structures of Supercivilizations |title=The Search for Extraterrestrial Life: Recent Developments |date=1985 |isbn=978-90-277-2114-3 |volume=112 |page=497 |bibcode=1985IAUS..112..497K |doi=10.1007/978-94-009-5462-5_65 |access-date=2022-04-03 |chapter-url=https://articles.adsabs.harvard.edu/pdf/1985IAUS..112..497K |chapter-format=PDF |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201212125039/https://articles.adsabs.harvard.edu/pdf/1985IAUS..112..497K |archive-date=2020-12-12 |url-status=live |s2cid=118286044}}</ref><ref name="Kardashev-1997" /> the Soviet astronomer proposed ways to detect super civilizations and to direct the [[Search for extraterrestrial intelligence|SETI]] (Search for Extra Terrestrial Intelligence) programs. A number of scientists have conducted searches for possible civilizations, but with no conclusive results.<ref>{{Cite book |last=Davies |first=Paul |title=The Eerie Silence: Renewing Our Search for Alien Intelligence |publisher=Houghton Mifflin Harcourt |year=2010 |isbn=978-0547133249 |language=en}}</ref> However, in part thanks to such searches, unusual objects, now known to be either [[pulsar]]s or [[quasar]]s, were identified.<ref name="cosmic_search">{{cite web |author=S. Jocelyn Bell Burnell |author-link=Jocelyn Bell Burnell |date=1977 |title=Little Green Men, White Dwarfs or Pulsars? |url=http://www.bigear.org/vol1no1/burnell.htm |access-date=2008-01-30 |publisher=Cosmic Search Magazine |archive-date=1997-03-02 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/19970302015153/http://www.bigear.org/vol1no1/burnell.htm |url-status=live }} (after-dinner speech with the title of ''Petit Four'' given at the Eighth Texas Symposium on Relativistic Astrophysics; first published in ''Annals of the New York Academy of Science'', vol.&nbsp;302, pp.&nbsp;685–689, Dec. 1977).</ref>

== Origin of the classification ==

=== First publication (1964) ===
[[File:KScale.svg|alt=A red dotted line that goes up from left to right.|thumb|upright=1.4|A projection of the Kardashev scale to 2040 based on data from the International Energy Agency World Energy Outlook]]
Kardashev presented for the first time a classification of civilizations according to the level of the rate of their energy consumption, or ability to harness power, in an article entitled ''Transmission of Information by Extraterrestrial Civilizations'', published in 1964 first in Russian in the March–April issue of the [[Astronomy Reports|Astronomicheskii Zhurnal]],<ref name=Kardashev-1964 /> then in English in the September–October 1964 issue of the Soviet Astronomical Journal.<ref name="Kardashev-1964"/> In this article, the scientist presents a calculation of the evolution of the power needs of humanity. Assuming that overall human power use will continue to increase, he calculated that the rate of energy consumption will cross specific mileposts. Kardashev proposed a typology of technological civilizations based on the evolutive attainment of the three power harnessing mileposts he described.<ref name=Kardashev-1964 /><ref>{{Cite book |last=Basalla |first=George |title=Civilized Life in the Universe: Scientists on Intelligent Extraterrestrials |year=2006 |publisher=Oxford University Press |isbn=978-0195171815 |pages=148–149 |language=en |chapter=Life in an Expanding Universe}}</ref>

A [[civilization]] known as "Type&nbsp;I" has achieved a technological level close to the one attained on earth at the time Kardashev’s article was submitted (December 1963), with a rate of energy consumption evaluated at about 4 x 10<sup>12</sup> [[watt]]s (W). A civilization known as "Type&nbsp;II" would surpass the first by fourteen orders of magnitude, matching the entire power emitted by the Sun in about 3,200 years, i.e, our home [[star]]’s “output“ at that time, predicted at 4 × 10<sup>26</sup> W. Finally, a civilization known as "Type&nbsp;III" reaches the milepost set in 5,800 years when humanity’s rate of energy consumption is predicted by the author to match the power emitted by the approximated 10<sup>11</sup> stars in our home [[galaxy]], the Milky Way, which involves harnessing power of up to an estimated 4 x 10<sup>37</sup> W.<ref name=Kardashev-1964/> 

Assuming the development of [[radio]], Kardashev predicted that in the following two decades (i.e. in the 1980s) it would be possible to build antennas of 100,000 m<sup>2</sup> capable of detecting Type&nbsp;II and III civilizations. A Type&nbsp;I civilization like that of earth would be able to receive the extraordinary energetic emissions of the other types of civilizations, which would supposedly be able to emit continuously.<ref name=Kardashev-1964/><ref name="Galántai-2003">{{Cite journal |last=Galántai |first=Zoltan |date=2003-09-07 |title=Long Futures and Type IV Civilizations |url=http://mono.eik.bme.hu/~galantai/longfuture/long_futures_article1.pdf |url-status=live |journal=Periodica Polytechnica, Social and Management Sciences |volume=12 |issue=1 |pages=83–89 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230307020046/http://mono.eik.bme.hu/~galantai/longfuture/long_futures_article1.pdf |archive-date=2023-03-07}}</ref>

Kardashev then examined the characteristics of a transmission from an artificial source. He mentioned the two cosmic radio sources discovered in 1963 by the [[California Institute of Technology]], CTA-21 and [[CTA-102]] in particular, which would have characteristics close to those of a presumed artificial source. The most suitable region of the galaxy for observing Type&nbsp;II and III civilizations would then be the [[Galactic Center]], due to the high density of the stellar population it harbors. He then recommended that the search programs for such artificial sources should focus on other nearby galaxies, such as the [[Andromeda Galaxy]], the [[Magellanic Clouds]], [[Messier 87|M87]], or [[Centaurus A]]. Kardashev concluded his paper by noting that the possible discovery of even the simplest organisms on [[Mars]] would increase the likelihood that Type&nbsp;II civilizations exist in the galaxy.<ref name=Kardashev-1964/>[[File:Consommations énergétiques des trois types de l'échelle de Kardashev.svg|thumb|upright=2|alt=Three schematic representations: Earth, Solar System and Milky Way|Energy consumption in three types of civilization as defined by Sagan's extended Kardashev scale|center]]

=== Second publication (1980) ===

==== Towards an energetic definition of civilization ====
In 1980, Nikolai Kardashev published a second article entitled ''Strategies of Searching for Extraterrestrial Intelligence: A Fundamental Approach to the Basic Problem,''<ref name="Kardashev-1980">{{Cite journal |last=Kardashev |first=Nikolai S. |date=1980 |title=Strategies of Searching for Extraterrestrial Intelligence: A Fundamental Approach to the Basic Problem |url=http://www.bigear.org/CSMO/HTML/CS07/cs07p36.htm |url-status=live |journal=Cosmic Search |volume=2 |issue=7 |pages=36–38 |bibcode=1980CosSe...2...36K |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230727035448/http://www.bigear.org/CSMO/HTML/CS07/cs07p36.htm |archive-date=2023-07-27}}</ref> in which he stated that:{{Blockquote|text=Detection and studies of extraterrestrial civilizations constitute a problem of immense significance for the progress of humanity and for its culture and philosophy. The discovery of intelligent life in the Universe would provide a guideline to the possible development of our civilization over astronomical time spans.|author=Nikolai Kardashev|title=Strategies of Searching for Extraterrestrial Intelligence: A Fundamental Approach to the Basic Problem}}

[[File:Annual_world_primary_energy_consumption.svg|alt=A broken line in blue goes, from left to right, from the bottom to the top|thumb|upright=2|A graph of world [[World energy supply and consumption|primary energy consumption]] in 2011 according to the BP ''Statistical Review'']]
According to the Soviet astronomer, the Earth's civilization would be too young to be able to contact another civilization that would certainly be more advanced; the [[Solar System]] is too young with its five billion years, and the first ancestors of today's man appeared only 6 million years ago at the earliest;<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Begun |first=David R. |date=2010-10-21 |title=Miocene Hominids and the Origins of the African Apes and Humans |url=https://www.annualreviews.org/doi/10.1146/annurev.anthro.012809.105047 |journal=Annual Review of Anthropology |language=en |volume=39 |issue=1 |pages=67–84 |doi=10.1146/annurev.anthro.012809.105047 |issn=0084-6570 |doi-access=}}</ref> the oldest celestial objects are between 10 and 14 billion years old; it is clear that the other civilizations are incomparably older than the human civilization. Therefore, the knowledge of these civilizations must be greater than Earth's, and, he reasoned, they must surely be aware of what humans are doing.<ref name="Kardashev-1980" />

Kardashev believed it is probable that the present state of Earth's civilization is only one of the stages through which civilizations pass during their evolution. It is thus possible to define [[civilization]] on the basis of this universal characteristic, which allowed [[Aleksandr Lyapunov]] to define life as "a highly stable state of matter, which uses information encoded by the states of individual molecules to produce maintaining reactions", which Kardashev calls the "functional definition of civilization".<ref name="Kardashev-1980" /> He therefore suggests thinking of civilization as a "highly stable state of matter capable of acquiring, making abstract analysis of, and utilizing information to obtain qualitatively new information about its environment and about itself, to improve its capabilities of gathering new information for producing sustaining reactions."<ref name="Kardashev-1980" />

Civilization is therefore characterized by the quality of the [[information]] acquired by its operating program, and by the [[energy]] required to implement these functions. By "information about its environment and about itself", Kardashev specified that it is data about organic or inorganic nature, [[science]], [[technology]], [[economy]], [[culture]], [[The arts|arts]], etc. From this definition, he proposed a diagram representing the interactions between a civilization and its environment, and enumerated a number of scientific problems arising from these interactions with the information available in the Universe.<ref name="Kardashev-1980" />

From this definition, Kardashev drew three conclusions. The first postulated that because of the vast and unlimited set of activities required by scientific problems, the period during which civilizations must transmit and communicate is necessarily long, even unlimited. On the other hand, since our present development covers only a negligible fraction of this [[Interstellar communication|communication phase]], Kardashev hypothesized the high improbability that we will meet "brothers in intelligence" who are at the same stage of evolution as are we. After all, highly advanced civilizations know and use the [[Scientific law|laws of physics]] to a degree that we have yet to suspect. Kardashev asserted that "this last point should be taken into account in the research programs of extraterrestrial civilizations" and concluded that it is very likely that our present state is only one of the stages through which every civilization passes during its evolution.<ref name="Kardashev-1980" />

==== Two strategies for searching for intelligent signals ====
Kardashev then analyzed various models and hypotheses of the evolution of civilization. Answering the question of the Russian astronomer [[Iosif Shklovsky]], who in an article published in 1977 and titled ''Possibility of the Intelligent Life in the Universe Being Unique'' found it strange that the "shock wave of intelligence" of a supercivilization had not yet reached the limits of the whole [[Universe]], Kardashev put forward two explanatory hypotheses. In the first, he postulated that it would not be useful for a supercivilization to expand the space it occupies in order to maintain its activity, and in the second, it is possible that a civilization, instead of dispersing itself in space, would rather continue its activities of information analysis in order to discover new fundamental laws (such as the exploration of the microcosm, or [[black hole]]s for example).<ref name="Kardashev-1980" />

However, such civilization activities require the use of abundant energy. According to the [[laws of thermodynamics]], an important part of this consumed energy must be converted into radiation of a [[Absolute magnitude|bolometric magnitude]] approximately equal to that of the radiation background surrounding the source. The spectral distribution of this intensity must be close to that of a [[black body]]. This would be a possible way to search for extraterrestrial civilizations. Such energy consumption would also require a large amount of solid matter for [[stellar engineering]] activities, which Kardashev called "cosmic miracles". In short, information about the possible existence of an extraterrestrial civilization would come in the form of [[electromagnetic radiation]].<ref name="Kardashev-1980" />

With regard to the fate of civilizations, Kardashev saw two concepts, from which two strategies for the search for extraterrestrial civilizations can be derived. The first, which he called "terrestrial [[chauvinism]]", is based on the principle that civilizations can only stabilize or perish at a level of development close to ours currently reached. The second, which he called the "evolutionary concept", holds that civilizations are capable of reaching higher levels of development than that of contemporary humanity. In the first case, the best search strategy using astronomical detection means (e.g., the [[Search for extraterrestrial intelligence|SETI]] program) would be to observe the most powerful (and often the most distant) sources of radiation in space.<ref name="Kardashev-1980" />

The observer will then be able to determine if they are natural emission sources, and only then can the search focus on objects with weaker radiation. In the second case, he recommended to search for new and powerful sources of radiation, especially in the poorly known regions of the [[electromagnetic spectrum]]. These sources could be significant or periodic [[Monochromatic radiation|monochromatic]] signals from the [[Galactic Center|galactic center]], from other galaxies or from [[quasar]]s and other exotic cosmic objects.<ref name="Kardashev-1980" />

Kardashev believed that the search should focus on the [[Submillimetre astronomy|millimeter wavelength spectrum]], close to the maximum intensity of the [[cosmic microwave background]], rather than in the [[Hydrogen line|21-centimeter band]] (which is the domain of investigation of the SETI program). According to Kardashev, in order to capture the significant radiation of an advanced civilization emitted by a [[megastructure]] (such as a [[Dyson sphere]]), a radio telescope with a diameter larger than that of the Earth would have to be placed in orbital space.<ref name="Kardashev-1980" />

Kardashev concluded by predicting that the search for extraterrestrial civilizations would lead to positive results in the [then] next decade, giving humanity access to a vast amount of information about the [[Universe]] and its evolution over a period of several billion years.<ref name="Kardashev-1980" />

=== Third publication (1985) ===

==== Discovering supercivilizations ====
In the article ''On the Inevitability and the Possible Structure of Supercivilizations'' published in 1985, Kardashev evokes the possible scenarios and the means of investigation available to humanity for the detection of [[Extraterrestrial hypothesis|hypothetical extraterrestrial supercivilizations]]. The Soviet astronomer reminds us that we search for these supercivilizations on the basis of our own development criteria, and that predictions are possible only for extraterrestrial worlds close to our technological level, the others being beyond our intellectual representation. Nevertheless, it seems useful to him to conceive models of supercivilizations based at the same time on imagination and on our present scientific knowledge. Since the [[Scientific law|laws of physics]] are immutable, even if new laws are discovered in the future, they will not abolish those already known.<ref name=Kardashev1985/>

According to Kardashev, theoretical models of supercivilizations must meet two basic assumptions. The first is that the range of supercivilization activities that obey the laws of physics is limited only by natural and scientific constraints, while the second is that the evolution of supercivilization activities cannot be interrupted or limited by intrinsic, inherent contingencies, such as large-scale social conflicts. For Kardashev, unlike other scientists, supercivilizations cannot self-destruct or retrogress. According to these principles, there must exist in space [[megastructure]]s of great size, emitting a lot of [[energy]] and [[information]], and existing for billions of years, while being compact enough to rapidly exchange large amounts of data between them.<ref name=Kardashev1985 /><ref name="Kardashev-1997"/>

A supercivilization would thus create a technological structure of cosmic dimensions. As an example, Kardashev cites [[Freeman Dyson]]'s megastructure, in the form of a [[Dyson sphere|sphere]] of several [[astronomical unit]]s in diameter. Other phenomena may indicate highly technological activities, such as artificially exploding stars or the changing of stellar [[orbit]]s to store mass and energy. [[Molecular cloud|Giant molecular clouds]] also hold great potential for [[Astronomical engineering|astroengineering]]. Kardashev even raises the possibility of a supercivilization reshaping the entire galaxy.<ref name=Kardashev1985 /><ref name="Kardashev-1997"/>

Then he evokes the theoretical and mathematical possibility of the existence of a megastructure in the form of a disk rotating on itself at a constant [[Angular frequency|angular velocity]]. According to him, the search for intelligent signals should be directed to the detection of such megastructures at the characteristic radiation (20 μm). [[Quasar]]s or galactic centers can be excellent candidates to testify to the existence of a supercivilization since they emit strong [[infrared]] radiation, which indicates a solid structure. The astronomer advises to look for these objects in a [[wavelength]] range from a few microns to a few millimeters. Large intelligent structures can also be detected by the fact that they screen or reflect the surrounding radiation.<ref name=Kardashev1985 />

==== Possible scenarios for the evolution of supercivilizations ====
{{See also|Potential cultural impact of extraterrestrial contact}}
Kardashev believes that it is very likely that a supercivilization has already detected and observed humanity through cosmic-sized telescopes. He discusses this in a 1997 article on the subject, entitled ''Radioastron – a Radio Telescope Much Greater than the Earth''.<ref name="Kardashev-1997-2">{{Cite journal |last=Kardashev |first=Nikolai S. |date=1997-12-01 |title=Radioastron – a Radio Telescope Much Greater than the Earth |url=https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1007937203880 |journal=Experimental Astronomy |language=en |volume=7 |issue=4 |pages=329–343 |doi=10.1023/A:1007937203880 |bibcode=1997ExA.....7..329K |issn=1572-9508 |s2cid=118639223}}</ref> For this supercivilization, the science of "cosmic ethnography" must be highly developed. However, the fact that [[Fermi paradox|no contact has been made so far]] could be explained by [[Zoo hypothesis|ethical considerations of these civilizations]]. Based on this principle, Kardashev sees only two possible evolutionary scenarios for a supercivilization: natural evolution and [[Potential cultural impact of extraterrestrial contact|evolution after contact with other extraterrestrial civilizations]]. He considers more likely the scenario based on contact between two civilizations highly developed technologically and culturally advanced civilizations; this scenario, which he calls the "Urbanization Hypothesis", would result in the regrouping and unification of several civilizations within a few compact regions of the [[Universe]].<ref name=Kardashev1985 />

Kardashev lists, in the form of investigative tools, six possible scenarios (summarized in a table at the end of his 1997 article)<ref name="Kardashev-1997-2" /> that explain the evolution of a civilization. Each of the scenarios corresponds to a [[probability]], one or more objects to be observed, an adapted procedure, and, finally the possible consequences for our civilization:<ref name=Kardashev1985 />

# The scenario of a large unification of civilizations over an extent of one to ten billion light-years with concentration in a certain region has a probability of 60%. These civilizations are to be searched for in the most powerful [[quasar]]s and in the [[galactic bulge]], at a radiation level higher than 10<sup>38</sup> watts, in the wavelengths from 10 μm to 1&nbsp;cm, as well as in the other regions of the spectrum. This is to detect megastructures or signals with a wavelength of 1.5&nbsp;mm<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Kardashev |first=Nikolai S. |date=1979 |title=Optimal wavelength region for communication with extraterrestrial intelligence: λ = 1.5 mm |url=https://www.nature.com/articles/278028a0 |journal=Nature |language=en |volume=278 |issue=5699 |pages=28–30 |bibcode=1979Natur.278...28K |doi=10.1038/278028a0 |issn=1476-4687 |s2cid=4341965}}</ref> and omnidirectional emission up to 21&nbsp;cm. In the event of contact, humanity would see progress in all areas of society in order to join this supercivilization; it is also expected that an [[Ethnography|ethnographic]] conservatory would be created on Earth.
# The scenario of a unification on the scale of the [[Open cluster|galactic cluster]] has only a 20% probability of realization. Kardashev advises to observe the [[Virgo Cluster|Virgo cluster]] (especially [[Messier 87|M87]]) and other clusters in a similar way as in the first scenario. The consequences for humanity are the same as in the first scenario.
# The scenario of a unification on the scale of galaxies has only a 10% probability. To confirm it, we must study the galactic centers, both of the [[Milky Way]] and of neighboring galaxies (such as [[Andromeda Galaxy|M31]], [[Triangulum Galaxy|M33]]), according to a procedure similar to that of the first scenario. The consequences for humanity are the same as in the first scenario.
# The scenario of a complete [[Space colonization|colonization of space]] has no probability of being realized according to Kardashev because if it were realizable then "they" would already be on Earth; yet this is not the case. However, in the case of a contact, the consequences on humanity are the same as in the first scenario.
# This scenario assumes that all civilizations would have destroyed themselves before any contact. Kardashev estimates the probability of this to be 10%. Humanity should be able to detect ancient megastructures in the vicinity of the [[List of nearest stars and brown dwarfs|nearest stars]]. As a result, no contact with humanity can take place.
# The last scenario suggests that we are the first or the only ones in the Universe. Kardashev estimates its probability at 10%. Only [[Astrobiology|exobiology]] can confirm or falsify such a scenario. We can imagine a potential [[First contact (science fiction)|contact]] in the distant future, and then the consequences would be similar to those of the other five scenarios.

=== Fourth publication (1997) ===
[[File:CMB Timeline75.jpg|alt=Color illustration. An object resembling a truncated trumpet has white spots on its surface.|thumb|upright=2|According to the [[Standard Model|standard model]] describing the [[Expansion of the universe|expansion of the Universe]] since the [[Big Bang]], there may be planets older than the Earth, capable of harboring supercivilizations.]]
In the article ''Cosmology and Civilizations'' published in 1997, Kardashev reiterates the need to carefully observe astronomical objects with strong radiation in order to detect supercivilizations. However, the discovery of a civilization at a stage of development similar to ours is unlikely. The existence of such supercivilizations is made possible by the fact that [[History of life|life on Earth]] is recent compared to the [[Age of the universe|age of the Universe]] (8 × 10<sup>9</sup> years before the [[Formation and evolution of the Solar System|formation of the Solar System]]). He then examines the conditions for the appearance of life on cosmological time scales. Assuming the rate of evolution of life on Earth and considering the age of the Universe, it is reasonable to assume that a civilization could have reached our level of technological development in 6 × 10<sup>9</sup> years. Such civilizations can be observed in nearby regions, since the farther away we observe, the younger the objects are. Recent discoveries of [[Gamma ray|sources of intense radiation]] deadly to life show that life could have flourished under cover for the time necessary for its appearance and maintenance. Another argument for the possibility of a very old supercivilization is that most of the objects that could be megastructures have not yet been discovered and mapped. In addition, 95% of the [[Dark matter|matter remains invisible]] or can only be inferred by the gravitational influence it produces.<ref name="Kardashev-1997">{{Cite journal |last=Kardashev |first=Nikolai S. |date=1997-03-01 |title=Cosmology and Civilizations |url=https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1000837427320 |journal=Astrophysics and Space Science |language=en |volume=252 |issue=1 |pages=25–40 |bibcode=1997Ap&SS.252...25K |doi=10.1023/A:1000837427320 |issn=1572-946X |s2cid=117792321}}</ref>

According to Kardashev, it is essential to focus our search tools on new objects radiating at a wavelength of a few microns to a few millimeters, and at a temperature of 3 to 300 [[Kelvin|K]], which is characteristic of large structures of solid matter.<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Lemarchand |first=Guillermo A. |date=1995 |title=Detectability of Extraterrestrial Technological Activities |url=http://www.coseti.org/lemarch1.htm |url-status=live |journal=SETIQuest |volume=1 |issue=1 |pages=3–13 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230307020046/http://www.coseti.org/lemarch1.htm |archive-date=2023-03-07}}</ref> It would then be possible to detect structures belonging to Type&nbsp;II in our galaxy or in those nearby. Type&nbsp;III structures can also be observed at large cosmological distances. Kardashev recalls that a study was conducted on 3000 sources of the [[IRAS]] catalog from the four directions of the sky. Two temperature bands were targeted: from 110 to 120 K and from 280 to 290 K. The analysis showed that the 110–120 K sources are clustered in the [[Galactic plane]] and in its center. Kardashev explains that only more powerful observations in the [[infrared]] and [[Submillimetre astronomy|submillimeter]] range can reveal possible artificial sources of radiation. He then refers to projects that he has proposed, in particular that of putting into orbit a [[Cryogenics|cryogenic]] [[space telescope]] (the ''Millimetron Project'').<ref name="Kardashev-1997" /><ref>{{Cite journal |last1=Gromov |first1=V. |last2=Kardashev |first2=N. |date=2001 |title=Sensitivity evaluation of submillimeter interferometer Earth – space telescope Submillimetron |url=https://articles.adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-iarticle_query?2001LIACo..36...99G&data_type=PDF_HIGH&whole_paper=YES&type=PRINTER&filetype=.pdf |url-status=live |journal=Liège International Astrophysical Colloquia |volume=36 |pages=99–102 |bibcode=2001LIACo..36...99G |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230807060637/https://articles.adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-iarticle_query?2001LIACo..36...99G&data_type=PDF_HIGH&whole_paper=YES&type=PRINTER&filetype=.pdf |archive-date=2023-08-07}}</ref>

According to Kardashev, these results, combined with those of other research on the age of certain cosmic objects, suggest that civilizations dating from 6 to 8 billion years ago may exist in our galaxy. It is likely that they have long since discovered our own civilization, a hypothesis that could answer the question posed by [[Enrico Fermi]] when he formulated his [[Fermi paradox|paradox]]: "Where are they?". Without the discovery of artificial sources, however, Shklovsky's theory that civilizations self-destruct as a result of large-scale social conflicts would be proven. Kardashev mentions another hypothesis that, in his opinion, is capable of explaining the dynamics of the supercivilizations: the "feedback effect" (theorized by [[Sebastian von Hoerner]] in 1975),<ref>{{Cite journal |last=von Hoerner |first=Sebastien |date=1975 |title=Population Explosion and Interstellar Expansion |url=https://library.nrao.edu/public/memos/spln/SPLN_76_20b.pdf |url-status=live |journal=Journal of the British Interplanetary Society |volume=28 |pages=691–712 |bibcode=1975JBIS...28..691V |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230807060637/https://library.nrao.edu/public/memos/spln/SPLN_76_20b.pdf |archive-date=2023-08-07}}</ref> which is based on the [[hypothesis]] that at a high technological level, civilizations tend to converge rather than to isolate themselves. The distance between supercivilizations could then be determined by half the time of the technological evolution of the oldest civilization, which would be about 3 to 4 billion years. On the other hand, this supercivilization may not have been present in our galaxy for a long time. Kardashev concludes by saying that since the [[Expansion of the universe|expansion of the Universe]] is infinite, the number and lifetime of such supercivilizations are also infinite.<ref name="Kardashev-1997" />

== Categories defined by Kardashev ==
The hypothetical classification, known as the Kardashev scale, distinguishes three stages in the evolution of civilizations according to the dual criteria of access and [[energy]] consumption.<ref name="Darling">{{Cite web |last=Darling |first=David |title=Kardashev civilizations |url=http://www.daviddarling.info/encyclopedia/K/Kardashevciv.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220401094848/https://www.daviddarling.info/encyclopedia/K/Kardashevciv.html |archive-date=2022-04-01 |access-date=2022-04-04 |website=www.daviddarling.info}}</ref><ref name="Calissendorff-2013">{{Cite web |last=Calissendorff |first=Per |date=2013-05-29 |title=A Dysonian Search for Kardashev Type III Civilisations in Spiral Galaxies |url=https://ttt.astro.su.se/~erza6638/exjobb/Calissendorff.pdf |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220108222414/https://ttt.astro.su.se/~erza6638/exjobb/Calissendorff.pdf |archive-date=2022-01-08 |access-date=2022-04-04 |website=ttt.astro.su.se }}</ref> The purpose of this classification is to guide the search for extraterrestrial civilizations, particularly within [[Search for extraterrestrial intelligence|SETI]], in which Kardashev participated,<ref name="Zoltan Galántai">Zoltan Galántai, Long Futures and Type IV Civilizations, ''Periodica Polytechnica, Social and Management Sciences'', <abbr>vol.</abbr> 12, <abbr>n<sup>o</sup></abbr> 1, 2004, <abbr>pp.</abbr> 83–89 ([http://mono.eik.bme.hu/~galantai/longfuture/long_futures_article1.pdf <small>read online</small>] [https://web.archive.org/web/20220108222331/http://mono.eik.bme.hu/~galantai/longfuture/long_futures_article1.pdf <small>archive</small>] <small><abbr>[PDF]</abbr></small><abbr>)</abbr></ref> and this on the assumption that a fraction of the energy used by each type is intended for communication with other civilizations. To make this scale more understandable, Lemarchand compares the speed at which a volume of information equivalent to 100,000 average-sized books can be transmitted across the galaxy. A Type&nbsp;II civilization can send this data using a transmission beam that lasts for only 100 seconds. A similar amount of information can be sent across [[Warm–hot intergalactic medium|intergalactic]] distances of about ten million light years, with a transmission time of several weeks. A Type&nbsp;III civilization can send the same amount of data to the entire [[observable universe]] with a transmission time of 3 seconds.<ref name="Darling" /><ref name="Lemarchand-20002">{{Cite journal |last=Lemarchand |first=Guillermo A. |date=2000 |title=Speculations on the First Contact: Encyclopedia Galactica or the Music of the Spheres? |url=https://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/document?repid=rep1&type=pdf&doi=aa375fa2c8d63d92bb9493ce3e9d992f5aef6f98#page=83 |url-status=live |journal=When SETI Succeeds: The Impact of High-Information Contact |pages=153–163 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230807064303/https://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/document?repid=rep1&type=pdf&doi=aa375fa2c8d63d92bb9493ce3e9d992f5aef6f98 |archive-date=2023-08-07}}</ref>

Kardashev's classification is based on the assumption of a growth rate of 1% per year. Kardashev believed that it would take humanity 3,200 years to reach Type&nbsp;II, and 5,800 years to reach Type&nbsp;III.<ref name="Kaku-2007">{{Cite web |last=Kaku |first=Michio |date=2007 |title=The Physics of Extraterrestrial Civilizations: Official Website of Dr Michio Kaku |url=https://mkaku.org/home/articles/the-physics-of-extraterrestrial-civilizations/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220108222440/https://mkaku.org/home/articles/the-physics-of-extraterrestrial-civilizations/ |archive-date=2022-01-08 |access-date=2022-04-04 |website=mkaku.org}}</ref> However, Dr. [[Michio Kaku]] believes that humanity must increase its energy consumption by 3% per year to reach Type&nbsp;I in 100–200 years.<ref>{{cite web |last=Creighton |first=Jolene |title=The Kardashev Scale – Type I, II, III, IV & V Civilization |url=https://futurism.com/the-kardashev-scale-type-i-ii-iii-iv-v-civilization |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230801130217/https://futurism.com/the-kardashev-scale-type-i-ii-iii-iv-v-civilization |archive-date=2023-08-01 |access-date=2023-08-24 |website=The Kardashev Scale – Type I, II, III, IV & V Civilization |date=21 August 2019 |publisher=Futurism}}</ref> These types are thus separated from each other by a growth rate of several billion.<ref name="Kaku-2007" />

=== Type I ===
A civilization "close to the level currently achieved on Earth, with an energy consumption of ≈4{{e|19}}&nbsp;[[erg]]/sec" (4{{e|12}}&nbsp;watts).<ref name=Kardashev-1964/> A Type&nbsp;I civilization is usually defined as one that can harness all the energy that reaches its home planet from its parent star (for Earth, this value is about 2{{e|17}}&nbsp;watts), which is about four [[Order of magnitude|orders of magnitude]] higher than the amount currently achieved on Earth, with an energy consumption of ≈2{{e|13}}&nbsp;watts by 2020. The astronomer Guillermo A. Lemarchand defined Type&nbsp;I as a level close to today's terrestrial civilization, with an energy capacity equivalent to Earth's [[solar irradiance]], between {{10^|16}} and {{10^|17}}&nbsp;watts.<ref name="Lemarchand">{{Cite web |url=http://www.coseti.org/lemarch1.htm |title=Detectability of Extraterrestrial Technological Activities |first=Guillermo A. |last=Lemarchand |publisher=Coseti |access-date=2004-10-23 |archive-date=2019-03-18 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190318193634/http://www.coseti.org/lemarch1.htm |url-status=live}}</ref>

=== Type II ===
A civilization capable of harnessing the energy radiated by its own large star – for example, by successfully completing a [[Dyson sphere]] or [[Matrioshka brain]] – with an energy consumption of ≈4{{e|33}}&nbsp;erg/sec.<ref name=Kardashev-1964/> Lemarchand defined such civilizations as being able to harness and channel the entire radiation output of their star. The energy consumption would then be comparable to the luminosity of the [[Sun]], about 4{{e|33}}&nbsp;erg/sec (4{{e|26}}&nbsp;[[watt]]s).<ref name="Lemarchand" />

=== Type III ===
A civilization with energy on the scale of its own [[galaxy]], with an energy consumption of ≈4{{e|44}}&nbsp;erg/sec.<ref name=Kardashev-1964/> Lemarchand defined civilizations of this type as having access to energy comparable to the luminosity of the entire [[Milky Way]] galaxy, about 4{{e|44}}&nbsp;erg/sec (4{{e|37}}&nbsp;watts).<ref name="Lemarchand" />

In accordance with the data available at the time, Kardashev did not go beyond a Type&nbsp;III civilization. However, new types (0, IV, V, and VI) have been proposed.

== Reassessments of the Kardashev scale ==

=== Sagan's finer classification ===
In 1973, [[Carl Sagan]] discovered Kardashev's work on the classification of civilizations.<ref name="Galantai-2006">{{Cite journal |last=Galantai |first=Zoltan |date=2006 |title=After Kardashev: Farewell to Super Civilizations |url=https://www.academia.edu/1018345 |journal=Contact in Contex |volume=2 |issue=2 |archive-date=2024-08-18 |access-date=2023-08-08 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240818005401/https://www.academia.edu/1018345 |url-status=live }}</ref> He found that the differences between the types Kardashev identified were so great that they did not allow for the best possible modeling of the evolution of civilizations.<ref name="Galántai-2003" /> Consequently, Sagan proposes a more refined classification, still based on Kardashev's types, but integrating intermediate levels using the following [[Logarithmic scale|logarithmic]] [[interpolation]] formula:<ref name="Carrigan Jr.-20102">{{Cite journal |last=Carrigan Jr. |first=Richard A. |date=2010 |title=Starry Messages: Searching for Signatures of Interstellar Archaeology |journal=Journal of British Interplanetary Society |volume=63 |issue=90 |pages=121–126 |arxiv=1001.5455 |bibcode=2010JBIS...63...90C}}</ref>

<math>K = \frac{\log_{10}{W}-6} {10}</math>,

where ''K'' is the Kardashev type of a civilization and ''W'' is the amount of power it uses, in watts. Thus, a ''Type 1.1'' civilization would be defined by a power of 10<sup>17</sup> watts, while a ''Type 2.3'' civilization would be able to harness 10<sup>29</sup> watts.

Moreover, the above formula could be used to extrapolate beyond Kardashev's original types. For example, a '''''Type&nbsp;0''''' civilization, not defined by Kardashev, would control about 1&nbsp;MW of power (equivalent to having around 100 campfires burning at any given time); on Earth, the emergence of Type 0 civilizations is roughly concurrent with the [[Cradle of civilization#Rise of civilization|rise of civilization]] in a general sense.<ref>{{Cite thesis |title=Environmental Change and Human Impact during the Mesolithic-Neolithic Transition in North-West Europe|url=https://research.manchester.ac.uk/files/84029587/FULL_TEXT.PDF |degree=PhD |publisher=[[University of Manchester]] |first=Sarah Elizabeth |last=Kneen |date=2014}}</ref>

Sagan estimated that, according to this revised scale, 1970s humanity would be Type 0.7 (about 10 [[terawatts]]),<ref name="Sagan-19732">{{Cite journal |last=Sagan |first=Carl |date=1973-07-01 |title=On the detectivity of advanced galactic civilizations |url=https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0019-1035%2873%2990112-7 |journal=Icarus |language=en |volume=19 |issue=3 |pages=350–352 |bibcode=1973Icar...19..350S |doi=10.1016/0019-1035(73)90112-7 |issn=0019-1035}}</ref> equivalent to 0.16% of the power available on Earth.<ref name="Wilson-20112">{{Cite book |last=Wilson |first=Richard |title=International Seminar on Nuclear War and Planetary Emergencies – 43rd Session |publisher=World Scientific Publishing Company |year=2011 |isbn=978-9814365925 |edition=1st |pages=51–61 |chapter=Energy and the Environment in the Next Millenium |doi=10.1142/8232}}</ref> This level is characterized, according to him, by the ability to self-destruct, which he calls "technological adolescence".<ref name="Lemarchand-20002"/> In 2021, the total [[World energy supply and consumption|world energy consumption]] was 595.15 [[Joule#Exajoule|exajoules]] (165,319&nbsp;[[Kilowatt-hour#Watt-hour multiples|TWh]]),<ref>{{Cite web |title=The Statistical Review of World Energy 2022 |url=https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/business-sites/en/global/corporate/pdfs/energy-economics/statistical-review/bp-stats-review-2022-full-report.pdf |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230821195021/https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/business-sites/en/global/corporate/pdfs/energy-economics/statistical-review/bp-stats-review-2022-full-report.pdf |archive-date=2023-08-21 |access-date=2023-08-24 |website=bp}}</ref> equivalent to an average power consumption of 18.87 TW or a Kardashev rating of 0.73&nbsp;(to 2 [[Significant figures|s.f.]]).<ref>{{Citation |last1=LePoire |first1=David J. |title=Energy Flow Trends in Big History |date=2020 |url=https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-33730-8_9 |work=The 21st Century Singularity and Global Futures: A Big History Perspective |pages=185–200 |editor-last=Korotayev |editor-first=Andrey V. |access-date=2023-09-09 |series=World-Systems Evolution and Global Futures |place=Cham |publisher=Springer International Publishing |language=en |doi=10.1007/978-3-030-33730-8_9 |isbn=978-3-030-33730-8 |s2cid=213212248 |last2=Chandrankunnel |first2=Mathew |editor2-last=LePoire |editor2-first=David J.}}</ref>

Sagan also suggests that, for completeness, an alphabetical scale should be added to indicate the level of [[Social change|social development]], expressed in the amount of information available to the civilization. Thus, a Class A civilization would be based on 10<sup>6</sup> [[bit]]s of information (less than any recorded human culture), a Class B on 10<sup>7</sup>, a Class C on 10<sup>8</sup>, and so on. Humanity in 1973 would belong to the "0.7 H" class.<ref name="books.google.com">{{cite book |last=Sagan |first=Carl |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=lL57o9YB0mAC&pg=PA156 |title=Cosmic Connection: An Extraterrestrial Perspective |year= 2000 |publisher=[[Cambridge University Press]] |others=[[Freeman Dyson]], David Morrison |isbn=978-0-521-78303-3 |editor-last=Agel |editor-first=Jerome |edition= |series= |location= |pages= |language= |chapter= |doi= |oclc= |id= |quote=I would suggest Type 1.0 as a civilization using 10<sup>16</sup> watts for interstellar communication; Type 1.1, 10<sup>17</sup> watts; Type 1.2, 10<sup>18</sup> watts, and so on. Our present civilization would be classed as something like Type 0.7. |author-link=Carl Sagan |access-date=2008-01-01 |orig-date=1973 |via=[[Google Books]]}}</ref> According to Sagan, the first civilization with which humanity would come into contact could be between "1.5 J" and "1.8 K"; a galactic supercivilization would be at the "3 Q" stage, while a federation of galaxies could be at the "4 Z" stage.<ref name="Lemarchand-20002"/> The information and energy axes are not strictly interdependent, so even a level Z civilization would not have to be Kardashev Type&nbsp;III.<ref name="books.google.com" /> Sagan believed that no civilization had yet reached level Z, speculating that so much unique information would exceed that of all the intelligent species in a [[galactic supercluster]], and observing that the universe is not old enough to exchange information effectively over large distances.

In 2017, the total amount of information generated on the [[internet]] was [[Zettabyte Era|26 zettabytes]] (with an estimated 120 zettabytes in 2023),<ref>{{Cite web |title=Data growth worldwide 2010-2025 |url=https://www.statista.com/statistics/871513/worldwide-data-created/ |access-date=2023-11-19 |website=Statista |language=en |archive-date=2024-08-30 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240830140921/https://www.statista.com/statistics/871513/worldwide-data-created/ |url-status=live }}</ref> equivalent to 0.73 R/S on Sagan's combined scale.

=== Kaku and the knowledge economy ===
In ''[[Physics of the Future]]'' (2011), American physicist [[Michio Kaku]] examines the conditions for humanity to converge on a Type&nbsp;I planetary civilization. This convergence is based primarily on the [[knowledge economy]]. Kaku uses the Kardashev scale, but develops it by adding an additional stage: a Type&nbsp;IV civilization would be able to draw the energy it needs from [[Extragalactic cosmic ray|extragalactic radiation]]. By studying the evolution of technologies that have changed history ([[paper]], the [[integrated circuit]]), Kaku believes that humanity is moving toward a civilization of planetary dimensions, the "starting point" of which is the [[Internet]].<ref name="Hamish-2012">{{Cite web |last1=Hamish |first1=Clift |last2=Mandeville |first2=Tom |date=2012 |title=Towards a Global Civilisation: An Evolutionary Perspective (14th International Schumpeter Society Conference) |url=http://www.aomevents.com/media/files/ISS%202012/Clift.pdf |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220813065004/http://www.aomevents.com/media/files/ISS%202012/Clift.pdf#federation=archive.wikiwix.com&tab=url |archive-date=2022-08-13 |access-date=2023-08-07 |website=aomevents.com }}</ref>

A Type&nbsp;I civilization consumes [[Power (physics)|power]] on the order of thousands to millions of times our current planetary output, about 100 trillion trillion watts. It would have enough energy to manipulate the occurrence of certain natural phenomena, such as [[earthquake]]s or [[volcano]]es, and could build cities on the [[ocean]]s. We can see the beginnings of a Type&nbsp;I civilization in the fact that a global language is developing ([[English language|English]]), a global communication system is emerging (the [[Internet]]), a global economic system is in the making (the establishment of the [[European Union]]), and even a globalized culture is standardizing humanity ([[mass media]], [[television]], [[rock music]], and [[Cinema of the United States|Hollywood movies]]).<ref name="Kaku-2007" /> To achieve Type&nbsp;I, humanity must be able to communicate with the rest of the world and to focus on several areas: building [[infrastructure]] to facilitate communication and cooperation, [[education]], [[research and development]], and [[innovation]], as well as building strong ties between [[diaspora]]s and their countries of origin, and between migrants and non-migrants.<ref name="Hamish-2012" /> If development fails, it is likely that the world will not be able to achieve Type&nbsp;II. If these areas do not develop, Kaku predicts that humanity will sink into the "abyss":<ref name="Hamish-2012" /> an advanced civilization must grow faster than the frequency of occurrence of [[Extinction-level threat|extinction-level]] cosmic catastrophes, such as [[Impact event|comet or asteroid impacts]]. A Type&nbsp;I civilization should also be able to master [[Spaceflight|space travel]] to deflect threatening objects. It would also have to anticipate the onset of [[ice age]]s and modify the climate long before they occur to avoid them.<ref name="Kaku-2007" />

In addition, in his books ''[[Hyperspace (book)|Hyperspace]]'' and ''[[Parallel Worlds (book)|Parallel Worlds]]'', Michio Kaku has discussed a Type&nbsp;IV civilization that could harness "extragalactic" energy sources such as [[dark energy]].<ref name="ParallelWorlds">{{cite book |last=Kaku |first=Michio |title=Parallel Worlds: The Science of Alternative Universes and Our Future in the Cosmos |title-link=Parallel Worlds (book) |date=2005 |publisher=Doubleday |isbn=978-0-7139-9728-6 |location=New York |page=[https://archive.org/details/parallelworldsjo00kaku_753/page/n335 317] |author-link=Michio Kaku}}</ref>

=== Zubrin's planet mastery ===
In ''Entering Space: Creating a Spacefaring Civilization'', [[Robert Zubrin]] suggests another form: his definition of a Type&nbsp;I civilization is described as one that has achieved full mastery of the resources of its planet (global), a Type&nbsp;II of its solar system (interplanetary), and a Type&nbsp;III would have unleashed the full potential of the galaxy (starfaring civilization). Metrics other than pure energy consumption have also been proposed.<ref name="Entering Space">{{Cite book |last=Zubrin |first=Robert |url=https://archive.org/details/enteringspacecre00zubr |title=Entering Space: Creating a Spacefaring Civilization |date=1999 |publisher=Penguin Publishing |isbn=978-1-58542-036-0 |url-access=registration}}</ref>

He ponders the possibility of a Type&nbsp;IV civilization, one that would dominate the universe, noting that there are limits to how minds can connect and interact on a galactic or intergalactic basis. As an example, he mentions that communication from the center of our [[Milky Way|galaxy]] to its edge would take about 50,000 years (since [[Superluminal communication|nothing can travel faster than light]], according to our understanding of physics).<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Krasnikov |first=S. V. |date=1998-04-15 |title=Hyperfast travel in general relativity |url=https://link.aps.org/doi/10.1103/PhysRevD.57.4760 |journal=Physical Review D |volume=57 |issue=8 |pages=4760–4766 |doi=10.1103/PhysRevD.57.4760|arxiv=gr-qc/9511068 |bibcode=1998PhRvD..57.4760K |s2cid=55825213 }}</ref><ref name="Entering Space" /><!-- I will gladly insert more information, but I will have to read the book first. - IrrationalBeing, 2023-08-07. Update 2023-08-22: Almost finished it. -->

=== Barrow's microdimensional mastering ===
The astronomer [[John D. Barrow]] of the [[University of Sussex]] has hypothesized that there are other stages beyond Type&nbsp;III. These Type&nbsp;IV, V, or even VI civilizations would be able to manipulate cosmic structures (galaxies, galactic clusters, superclusters) and even escape the [[Big Crunch]] through holes in space.<ref name="Kaku-2007" />

Barrow also proposes an "anti-Kardashev scale": he observes that humans have found it more cost effective to extend their ability to manipulate their environment to smaller and smaller scales rather than to larger and larger ones. He, therefore, proposes a reverse classification, from Type&nbsp;I-minus to Type Omega-minus:
* '''[[Mechanical engineering|Type I-minus]]''' is capable of manipulating objects on the scale of itself: building structures, mining, joining and breaking solids;
* '''[[Medical engineering|Type II-minus]]''' is capable of manipulating [[gene]]s and altering the development of living things, transplanting or replacing parts of themselves, reading and manipulating their [[genetic code]];
* '''[[Molecular engineering|Type III-minus]]''' is capable of manipulating [[molecule]]s and [[Covalent bond|molecular bonds]], creating new materials;
* '''[[Nanotechnology|Type IV-minus]]''' is capable of manipulating individual [[atom]]s, creating nanotechnology at the atomic level, and creating complex forms of [[artificial life]];
* '''[[Nuclear engineering|Type V-minus]]''' is capable of manipulating the [[atomic nucleus]] and engineering the [[nucleon]]s that compose it;
* '''[[Femtotechnology|Type VI-minus]]''' is capable of manipulating the most elementary particles of matter ([[quark]]s and [[lepton]]s) to create organized complexity among populations of elementary particles; 
* '''Type Omega-minus''' is capable of manipulating the fundamental structure of [[Spacetime|space and time]].<ref name="Impossibility: Limits of Science and the Science of Limits">{{cite book |last=Barrow |first=John |url=https://archive.org/details/impossibility00barr |title=Impossibility: Limits of Science and the Science of Limits |date=1998 |publisher=[[Oxford University Press]] |isbn=978-0-19-851890-7 |location=Oxford |page=[https://archive.org/details/impossibility00barr/page/n140 133] |author-link=John D. Barrow |url-access=limited}}</ref>
''In Impossibility: The Limits of Science and the Science of Limits'' (1998), Barrow proposes a scale ranging from "BI" to "BVI", with an ultimate stage he calls "BΩ", the former characterized by the possibility of manipulating one's environment, while the latter allows for the modification of [[spacetime]].<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Smart |first=John M. |date=2012-09-01 |title=The transcension hypothesis: Sufficiently advanced civilizations invariably leave our universe, and implications for METI and SETI |url=https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0094576511003304 |journal=Acta Astronautica |series=Searching for Life Signatures |language=en |volume=78 |pages=55–68 |doi=10.1016/j.actaastro.2011.11.006 |bibcode=2012AcAau..78...55S |issn=0094-5765 |archive-date=2022-05-04 |access-date=2023-08-09 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220504015655/https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0094576511003304 |url-status=live }}</ref>

=== Galántai's miniaturization and resilience to catastrophes ===
[[File:Impact_event.jpg|alt=Color illustration. A burning object pierces the surface of a much larger object.|thumb|For Zoltan Galántai, a scale classifying civilizations should be based on their ability to survive catastrophes, particularly those of cosmic origin, such as an [[Impact event|asteroid impact]].]]
Zoltan Galántai recognizes the important role that Kardashev's classification has played in the SETI program, but he believes that another scale is possible, without using energy consumption, by resorting to miniaturization. The hypothesis of Donald Tarter, researcher at SETI, is that a civilization based on [[nanotechnology]] would not need an ever-increasing amount of energy. A Type&nbsp;I civilization that masters local space travel could colonize its planetary system and even the [[Oort cloud]] without needing an amount of energy that would make it Type&nbsp;II.<ref name="Galantai-2006" /> This scale loses its meaning beyond Type&nbsp;II, since it is impossible to predict the evolution of civilizations over long distances in a galactic colonization process. Finally, the Kardashev scale is the product of an era of insufficient scientific knowledge, which considered the possibility of stellar object [[CTA-102]] as an artificial Type&nbsp;III source, whereas today we know that it is a [[Active galactic nucleus|galactic nucleus]].<ref name="Galantai-2006" />

In another article, Zoltan Galántai suggests considering another scale, no longer based on energy consumption, but on a civilization's ability to survive natural and cosmic disasters. Type&nbsp;I would describe a civilization capable of surviving a local natural disaster, like the [[Ancestral Puebloans|Anasazi]]. A Type&nbsp;II civilization would have the means to withstand a regional or continental disaster, and finally Type&nbsp;III could face a global disaster such as an [[Impact event|asteroid's impact]], a [[supervolcano]]'s eruption, or an [[ice age]]. Beyond the first three types are civilizations that have scattered throughout the galaxy. The Type&nbsp;IV civilization would still be vulnerable to some cosmic threats, while the Type&nbsp;V civilization would be technically immortal, as no cosmic catastrophe could reach it.<ref name="Galantai-2006"/> The Kardashev scale can be a relevant tool for preventing catastrophes, whether human or natural, according to Richard Wilson, who relates this scale to the power of destruction, in [[TNT]]. A Type&nbsp;I civilization would use 25 [[TNT equivalent|megatons]] of equivalent TNT per second, a Type&nbsp;II civilization 4 × 10<sup>9</sup> times more (4 billion hydrogen bombs per second), while a Type&nbsp;III civilization would use 10<sup>11</sup> times more.<ref name="Wilson-20112"/>

== Progression through the types ==
{{Further|World energy supply and consumption}}

=== Towards type I ===
According to Carl Sagan, Type&nbsp;I should be reached around 2100.<ref name="Hamish-2012" />

Physicist and futurist [[Michio Kaku]] has suggested that, if humans increase their energy consumption at an average rate of 3 percent per year, they could reach Type&nbsp;I status in 100–200&nbsp;years, Type&nbsp;II status in a few thousand years, and Type&nbsp;III status in 100,000 to a million years.<ref name="Interstellar Travel">{{cite web |last=Kaku |first=Michio |author-link=Michio Kaku |date=2010 |title=The Physics of Interstellar Travel: To one day, reach the stars. |url=https://mkaku.org/home/articles/the-physics-of-interstellar-travel/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230719165516/https://mkaku.org/home/articles/the-physics-of-interstellar-travel/ |archive-date=2023-07-19 |access-date=2023-08-24}}</ref>

Physicist [[Freeman Dyson]] has calculated that Type&nbsp;I should be reached in about 200 years,<ref name=":05">{{Cite web |last=Kaku |first=Michio |date=2007 |title=The Physics of Extraterrestrial Civilizations: Official Website of Dr. Michio Kaku |url=https://mkaku.org/home/articles/the-physics-of-extraterrestrial-civilizations/ |access-date=2023-08-07 |archive-date=2022-01-08 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220108222440/https://mkaku.org/home/articles/the-physics-of-extraterrestrial-civilizations/ |url-status=live }}</ref> while Richard Carrigan has estimated that the Earth is just four-tenths of the way to Type&nbsp;I on the Sagan scale. If Type&nbsp;I is reached soon (in the year 3000 for [[Richard Wilson (physicist)|Richard Wilson]]),<ref name="Wilson-2010">{{Cite book |last=Wilson |first=Richard |title=International Seminar on Nuclear War and Planetary Emergencies: 43rd Session |year=2010 |isbn=9789814365932 |pages=56–57 |publisher=World Scientific |language=en}}</ref> it would be accompanied by profound social upheavals, but also by a significant risk of self-destruction.<ref name="Wilson-2010" />

According to Per Calissendorff, energy consumption cannot be the main parameter to explain the transition from one type to another. Civilizations must have the means to maintain their growth rate despite climatic conditions and major natural disasters, even on the cosmic scale. A civilization moving towards Type&nbsp;II must have mastered [[Spaceflight|space travel]], [[Interplanetary communications|interplanetary communication]], [[stellar engineering]], and [[Climate engineering|climate]]. It must also have developed a planetary communication system, such as the [[Internet]].<ref name="Calissendorff-2013" /> For Michio Kaku, the only serious threat to a Type&nbsp;II civilization would be the explosion of a nearby [[supernova]], while no known cosmic catastrophe would be capable of wiping out a Type&nbsp;III civilization.<ref name="Kaku-2007" />

According to [[Philip T. Metzger]], humanity has reached Type&nbsp;I, but faces an energy challenge. In his 2011 paper ''Nature's Way of Making Audacious Space Projects Viable'', he states that the Earth's [[Non-renewable resource|non-renewable]] energy sources are nearly exhausted; [[natural gas]] will be depleted by 2020–2030, [[coal]] by 2035, [[uranium]] by 2056, while [[Extraction of petroleum|oil production]] peaked in 2006–2008.<ref name="Metzger-2011">{{Cite web |last=Metzger |first=Philip T. |author-link=Philip T. Metzger |date=2011-09-27 |title=Nature's Way of Making Audacious Space Projects Viable |url=https://ntrs.nasa.gov/citations/20110016183 |access-date=2023-08-08 |website=nasa.gov}}</ref> [[Nuclear power|Nuclear energy]] cannot fully meet the world's energy needs (it represented only 6% in 2011). In addition, renewable energy cannot meet the growing demand for energy. Most of the minerals used by humans are in danger of becoming scarce; 11 minerals are already classified as having passed their peak production. For Metzger, humanity must therefore undertake a "100-year project" aimed at building a spacecraft ("100 Year Starship") capable of accessing the vast energy resources of the [[Solar System]].<ref name="Metzger-2011" /> For Metzger, it is even probable that if extraterrestrials coveted the energy resources of our Solar System, they would not look for them on Earth, but on the various [[asteroid]]s and [[Minor planet|planetoids]]. [[Robotics]] is the only way to access so many dispersed resources, and humanity should embark on a second long-term project, which Metzger calls the "robotsphere", that would begin with the energetic exploitation of the [[Moon]] (estimated at 2.3 × 10<sup>13</sup> [[Joule|J]]/year). This first step would make it possible to reach Type&nbsp;II in 53 years. Then the robotsphere ([[Self-replicating machine|self-replicating]] and [[Machine learning|self-learning]] automated probes) would extend to the rest of the Solar System. Current advances in [[artificial intelligence]] suggest that the foundations of a robotsphere could be reached early in the next century, beginning in 2100. Metzger sees eight benefits for humanity in building the 100 Year Starship, including zero launch costs because the spacecraft will be built in space by robots that can do so with little human assistance (drastically reducing manufacturing costs), the creation of a Solar System-wide economy, and the use of resources from celestial objects and possibly [[terraforming]] them.<ref name="Metzger-2011" />

=== Towards type II ===
Viorel Badescu and Richard B. Cathcart have studied the possibility that a Type&nbsp;II civilization could use a 450 million kilometer device to direct [[Solar irradiance|solar radiation]] and thus be able to impart a kinetic motion to its star that deviates it from its usual trajectory by about 35 to 40 [[parsec]]s,<ref name="Badescu-2006">{{Cite journal |last1=Badescu |first1=Viorel |last2=Cathcart |first2=Richard B. |title=Use of Class A and Class C stellar engines to control Sun movement in the galaxy |url=http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2006AcAau..58..119B |journal=Acta Astronautica |date=2006 |volume=58 |issue=3 |pages=119–129 |doi=10.1016/j.actaastro.2005.09.005 |bibcode=2006AcAau..58..119B |archive-date=2018-11-22 |access-date=2023-08-08 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181122003849/http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2006AcAau..58..119B |url-status=live }}</ref> allowing it, among other things, to capture its [[energy]] and navigate the galaxy.<ref>{{Cite journal |last1=Badescu |first1=Viorel |last2=Cathcart |first2=Richard B. |date=2006 |title=Stellar engines for Kardashev's Type II Civilization |url=https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2000JBIS...53..297B/abstract |journal=Journal of the British Interplanetary Society |volume=53 |issue=53 |pages=297–306 |bibcode=2000JBIS...53..297B |archive-date=2023-07-27 |access-date=2023-08-24 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230727044434/https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2000JBIS...53..297B/abstract |url-status=live }}</ref><ref name="Badescu-2006" />

For Claude Semay, "a Type&nbsp;II civilization could be detected at great distances (by what is called "astro-technical leakage"),{{verify source|reason=Missing quotation mark. What exactly is quoted?|date=February 2024}} provided that it is not located in a region of the galaxy that is too distant from us, or that it does not occupy a location that is obscured from us by clouds of gas or dust".<ref name="Semay-1998">{{Cite journal |last=Semay |first=Claude |date=1998 |title=À la recherche des civilisations extra-terrestres : la classification des civilisations technologiques |url=http://www.lesconfins.com/colonisationgalactique..pdf |url-status=live |journal=Galactée |language=fr |issue=7 |pages=31–35 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230727035449/http://www.lesconfins.com/colonisationgalactique..pdf |archive-date=2023-07-27}}</ref>

=== Towards type III ===
[[File:Gb1508_illustration.jpg|alt=Color illustration. A yellow-orange disc in the center is pierced vertically by a spiral of filaments.|thumb|Artist's view of [[quasar]] GB1508. According to Russian astronomer Kardashev, a highly evolved civilization, known as "Type&nbsp;III" in his theoretical classification, would be able to draw its energy from such a source.]]
A Type&nbsp;III civilization should be detectable because of the large amount of radiation captured on a galaxy-wide scale. Calissendorff suggests using 75% of the total light emitted by a galaxy to determine that a Type&nbsp;III civilization uses many [[Dyson sphere]]s. If only three or four of these spheres occupy the galaxy, it does not necessarily mean that the civilization has reached Type&nbsp;III, and it may still be in transition;<ref name="Calissendorff-2013" /> however, such civilizations may remain beyond the reach of our understanding and instruments. Sagan believes that the nearest Type&nbsp;III civilization is at an average distance of 10,000 light-years from us, but that it is not interested in classical radio transmissions, being of a different technological level. Only small, low-level civilizations could communicate with us.<ref name="Sagan-19732"/>

Semay observes that "a Type&nbsp;III civilization should not be confused with what science fiction writers call a '[[galactic empire]]'", knowing that it can only exist if [[interstellar travel]] is achieved. Semay argues that there is no evidence that this will ever be possible.<ref name="Semay-1998" /> Based on Dyson's calculations, Semay believes that such a journey would take three centuries, with an average distance between stars of about 7 light years. Overall, the speed of the colonization front, which ranges from 4 × 10<sup>−4</sup> to 5 × 10<sup>−3</sup> light-years per year, would result in humanity spreading throughout the galaxy in a period of 16 to 200 million years.<ref name="Semay-1998" /> "A Type&nbsp;III civilization, having thus "domesticated" its galaxy by building a large number of Dyson spheres, would be detectable over intergalactic distances of several million light-years."<ref name="Semay-1998" />

A Type&nbsp;III civilization could theoretically live inside a [[supermassive black hole]], in a stable periodic orbit, which would make it completely undetectable, according to V. I. Dokuchaev.<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Dokuchaev |first=V. I. |date=2011-11-17 |title=Is there life inside black holes? |url=https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/0264-9381/28/23/235015 |journal=Classical and Quantum Gravity |volume=28 |issue=23 |pages=235015 |arxiv=1103.6140 |bibcode=2011CQGra..28w5015D |doi=10.1088/0264-9381/28/23/235015 |issn=0264-9381 |s2cid=118381689}}</ref>

=== Towards type IV ===
Zoltan Galántai notes that neither Kardashev nor Sagan thought to extend the scale and define a Type&nbsp;IV (which would use the energy of an entire Universe). They simply did not envision a civilization capable of manipulating its environment on the largest possible scale (about 14 billion [[parsec]]s).<ref name="Galántai-2003" /> The concept of a Type&nbsp;IV supercivilization approaches divine possibilities, enabling the creation of, and travel through, [[Multiverse|alternate Universes]] of such a civilization's own design,<ref name="Galántai-2003" /> although the latter possibility is reserved for a Type&nbsp;V civilization by Carrigan.<ref name="Carrigan Jr.-20102"/> The fraction of energy captured by a civilization capable of powering itself on a black hole could also be used to classify civilizations.<ref name="Inoue-2011">{{Cite journal |last1=Inoue |first1=Makoto |last2=Yokoo |first2=Hiromitsu |date=2011 |title=Type III Dyson Sphere of Highly Advanced Civilizations around a Super Massive Black Hole |journal=Journal of British Interplanetary Society |volume=64 |pages=58–62 |arxiv=1112.5519}}</ref>

== Possible scenarios ==
According to Kardashev, the most important parameters to define the existence of a civilization are three: the presence of very powerful energy sources, the use of non-standard technologies, and the transmission of significant amounts of information of various kinds through space.<ref name="Kardashev-1971">{{Cite book |last=Kardashev |first=Nikolai S. |url=https://archive.org/stream/nasa_techdoc_19710005278/19710005278_djvu.txt |title=Extraterrestrial Civilizations: Problems of Interstellar Communications |publisher=Coronet Books |year=1971 |isbn=978-0706510348 |editor-last=Kaplan |editor-first=S. A. |pages=12–57 |chapter=The Astrophysical Aspect of the Search for Signals From Extraterrestrial Civilizations}}</ref>

=== Energy sources ===
Kardashev's classification is based on the hypothesis that an advanced civilization uses significant energy, which implies that it must be de facto detectable over long distances, as summarized by Zoltan Galántai.<ref name="Galantai-2006" /> For Kardashev, the limit of a civilization's energy consumption is originally located in the region of the [[electromagnetic spectrum]] from 10<sup>6</sup> to 10<sup>8</sup> Hz, which allows two observations related to [[thermodynamics]]. First, all the energy consumed is inevitably converted into heat. Second, this energy can only be dissipated in the form of radiation scattered in space. These two findings are the pillars of Kardashev's theory that cosmic objects with strong radiation could be artificial sources.<ref name="Kardashev-1971" /> He also considered the possibility of detecting an artificial source by emphasizing the [[spectral line]] of [[hydrogen]] in its use for [[nuclear fusion]].<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Kardashev |first=Nikolai S. |date=1960 |title=The Possibility of Detection of Allowed Lines of Atomic Hydrogen in the Radiofrequency Spectrum |journal=Soviet Astromical Journal |volume=3 |pages=813–820}}</ref>

Dutil and Dumas consider several physical limits to continuous energy production, such as [[photosynthesis]] (about 10 [[Terawatt|TW]]), climate (about 127 TW), and [[Solar irradiance|solar flux]] (174,000 TW). The only inexhaustible source of energy that can sustain a civilization for over several billion years, is [[deuterium]] (used in [[nuclear fusion]]).<ref name="Dutil-2007" /> The sustainability of a civilization must therefore involve "strict control of the exploitation of available resources"; this difficulty in exceeding energy limits may explain the fact that the vast majority of civilizations fail to engage in a space colonization project.<ref name="Dutil-2007" />

Astrophysicist Makoto Inoue and economist Hiromitsu Yokoo have explored the possibility that a Type&nbsp;III civilization could extract energy from a [[supermassive black hole]] (SMBH). The captured energy could meet the extraordinary needs of a civilization that requires about 4 × 10<sup>44</sup> erg/s.<ref name="Inoue-2011" /> The energy would be captured in the form of radiation emitted by the matter rushing into the star, by means of collectors located within the [[accretion disk]]. These collectors are similar to Dyson spheres. The overflow, as well as the waste of the civilization, would be redirected towards the black hole. A fraction of this energy, directed as a [[Maser|high-powered beam]], could be useful for space travel. A galactic club of civilizations could transmit the energy through networks within the galaxy. Within the various central power stations that make up the network, power transmission is periodically switched between transmitter and receiver, according to the galactic rotation. To be efficient, this network should be located at the center of the galaxy.<ref name="Inoue-2011" />

=== The technology ===
{{Further|Stellar engineering|Megastructure}}This parameter is one of the most undetectable in the Universe due to the fact that solid matter structures are at low temperatures and emit weak radiation. Their luminosity, which is difficult to observe, also makes it impossible to observe them with telescopes. Likewise, we cannot detect them by their [[Gravity|gravitational effects]].<ref name="Kardashev-1971" /> On the other hand their existence can be detected by analyzing the [[wavelength]]s between 8 and 13 microns, corresponding to surface temperatures of 300 K. A hypothetical [[Dyson sphere]] could thus be detected,<ref name="Carrigan Jr.-20102"/> provided that the observation is made from space. Locally, the significant dip in luminosity that would result from a giant Dyson sphere (or "Fermi bubble") would allow the detection of a Type&nbsp;III civilization.<ref name="Carrigan Jr.-20102"/>

A [[megastructure]] like a Dyson sphere could be the result of a technology based on [[Self-replicating machine|self-replicating probes]], as those imagined by [[John von Neumann|von Neumann]]. A Type&nbsp;III civilization would indeed have the means to disperse a significant number of these spheres throughout the galaxy, which would have the effect of attenuating the light emitted by the galaxy.<ref name="Calissendorff-2013" /> Kaku also considers this to be the most efficient method of colonizing space. For example, a galaxy 100,000 light years in diameter would be explored in half a million years.<ref name="Kaku-2007" /> [[Paul Davies]] has suggested that a civilization could colonize the galaxy by scattering miniature probes, no larger than the palm of a hand, using [[nanotechnology]]. This thesis is realistic, he explains, because it is obvious that the technology is becoming increasingly miniaturized and proportionally less expensive.<ref name="Kaku-2007" />

Type&nbsp;II megastructures would be easier to detect. This would be the case of a [[Dyson sphere]] used as a "[[stellar engine]]",<ref name="Badescu">{{Cite web |last1=Badescu |first1=Viorel |last2=Cathcart |first2=Richard B. |title=Space travel with solar power and a dyson sphere |url=http://www.astronomytoday.com/exploration/solartravel.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230415102053/http://www.astronomytoday.com/exploration/solartravel.html |archive-date=2023-04-15 |access-date=2023-08-22 |website=www.astronomytoday.com}}</ref> as well as the contribution of heavy elements.<ref name="Carrigan Jr.-20102"/> Similarly, "Shkadov thrusters", which would produce a lateral thrust of 4.4 [[parsec]]s on their star by reflecting solar radiation through a structure made of mirrors, would be observable objects. This device would break the symmetry of solar radiation and counteract [[Gravity|gravitational forces]], allowing a Type&nbsp;II civilization to move its home solar system through space.<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Shkadov |first=L. M. |date=1987 |title=Possibility of controlling solar system motion in the Galaxy |url=https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/1987brig.iafcR....S/abstract |journal=38th Congress of the International Astronautical Federation |bibcode=1987brig.iafcR....S |archive-date=2023-08-22 |access-date=2023-08-22 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230822180535/https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/1987brig.iafcR....S/abstract |url-status=live }}</ref><ref name="Badescu" /> Drake and Shklovski have also considered the possibility of "seeding" a star (Stellar salting) by artificially adding extremely rare elements such as [[technetium]] or [[promethium]]. Such an intervention in a star's composition would be detectable.<ref name="Carrigan Jr.-20102"/>

It is still possible that humanity could discover traces of lost Type&nbsp;I, II, or III civilizations. The search for material traces of such civilizations (e.g. Dyson spheres or stellar engines), an "interesting alternative" to the conventional SETI program, lays the foundation for a "[[Xenoarchaeology|cosmic archaeology]]" according to Richard A. Carrigan. Efforts to detect intelligence markers in the atmospheres of [[exoplanet]]s (such as [[freon]], [[oxygen]], or even [[ozone]], residues of biotic activity according to [[James Lovelock]]'s research)<ref name="Carrigan Jr.-20102"/> are one of the most promising avenues. A civilization watching its star die (as a [[red giant]], for example) could have tried to prolong its existence through megastructures that should be detectable.<ref name="Carrigan Jr.-20102"/> The possible traces could be nuclear remnants, to be sought within the [[Stellar classification|spectral types]] going from [[A-type main-sequence star|A5]] to [[Main sequence|F2]] according to Whitmire and Wright.<ref>{{Cite journal |last1=Whitmire |first1=Daniel P. |last2=Wright |first2=David P. |date=1980-04-01 |title=Nuclear waste spectrum as evidence of technological extraterrestrial civilizations |url=https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0019-1035%2880%2990253-5 |journal=Icarus |volume=42 |issue=1 |pages=149–156 |doi=10.1016/0019-1035(80)90253-5 |bibcode=1980Icar...42..149W |issn=0019-1035}}</ref> It could also be a change in the [[Natural abundance|isotopic ratio]], due to a stellar engine, or an unusual spectral modulation in the composition of the star.<ref name="Carrigan Jr.-20102"/>

=== The interstellar transmission of information ===
{{Further|Interstellar communication}}
[[File:SETI@home (version 8.19).png|alt=Color illustration. Geometric shapes in various colors are drawn on a black background.|thumb|A screenshot of the [[SETI@home]] computer program]]
According to Kardashev, the transmissions of an extraterrestrial civilization (what [[SERENDIP]] is looking for) can be divided into two types. On the one hand, there can be an exchange of information between highly developed civilizations or civilizations at similar stages of evolution. On the other hand, the transmission of information can be aimed at raising the level of other less developed civilizations. If supercivilizations do exist, the transmissions of the first type must remain inaccessible to our observation because they must be unidirectional and not be directed toward the [[Solar System]]. Conversely, those of the second type must be easily detectable by our listening devices.<ref name="Kardashev-1971" /> 

A signal of artificial origin should contain more than 10 and less than 100 [[bit]]s. The latter would be of two types: transient and stable. Several criteria allow us to distinguish a signal of artificial origin from others. First, the optimal region of the spectrum to host artificial signals is the one where the temperature of the [[cosmic microwave background]] is the lowest.<ref name="Kardashev-1971" /> Second, artificial sources must have a minimum angular size. The presence of suspicious data in other regions of the spectrum (such as [[circular polarization]], radio and optical frequencies,<ref>{{Cite book |last1=Shvartsman |first1=V. F. |last2=Beskin |first2=G. M. |last3=Mitronova |first3=S. N. |last4=Neizvestny |first4=S. I. |last5=Plakhotnichenko |first5=V. L. |last6=Pustil'nik |first6=L. A. |date=1993 |editor-last=Shostak |editor-first=G. S. |chapter=Results of the MANIA Experiment: an Optical Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence |chapter-url=https://articles.adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-iarticle_query?1993ASPC...47..381S&data_type=PDF_HIGH&whole_paper=YES&type=PRINTER&filetype=.pdf |title=Third Decennial US-USSR Conference on SETI |series=ASP Conference Series |volume=47 |pages=381–392|bibcode=1993ASPC...47..381S }}</ref> or [[Astrophysical X-ray source|X-ray emissions]]) can confirm that it is an intelligent transmission. Two sources among those studied have parameters close to those expected: 1934-63 and [[3C 273|3C 273B]].<ref name="Kardashev-1971" />

For L. M. Gindilis, there are two criteria for a signal to be called artificial: one related to the artificial nature of the source and the other related to a particular radiation, intentionally designed to ensure communication and facilitate detection.<ref name="Gindilis-1971">{{Cite book |last=Gindilis |first=L. M. |title=Extraterrestrial Civilizations – Problems of Interstellar Communication |year=1971 |pages=68–131 |chapter=The Possibility of Radio Communication With Extraterrestrial Civilization}}</ref> Only Type&nbsp;II or III civilizations can communicate using [[Isotropy|isotropic]] transmissions that allow omnidirectional reception. In a 1&nbsp;MHz band (which requires about 10<sup>24</sup> watts), detection of signals from a Type&nbsp;II civilization is possible up to 1,000 [[light-year]]s away, while signals from a Type&nbsp;III civilization are detectable virtually throughout the [[Observable universe|observable Universe]].<ref name="Gindilis-1971" /> However, building an omnidirectional transmitter powerful enough to transmit over a range of 1,000 light years would take several million years. According to V.S. Troitsky, the energy required and the limitations in its production would be two obstacles to completing this project in a reasonable time.<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Troitskij |first=V. S. |date=1989 |title=Development of Extraterrestrial Intelligence and Physical Laws |url=https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/0094576589900799 |journal=Acta Astronautica |volume=19 |issue=11 |pages=875–887 |doi=10.1016/0094-5765(89)90079-9 |bibcode=1989AcAau..19..875T |archive-date=2023-08-29 |access-date=2023-08-23 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230829130330/https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/0094576589900799 |url-status=live }}</ref>

For Zoltan Galántai, we would not be able to distinguish between an intelligent extraterrestrial signal and a signal of natural origin. Therefore, he does not believe that Type&nbsp;II, III or even IV civilizations can be detected. Even if humanity reaches Type&nbsp;IV, it will not be able to detect another supercivilization of a similar level, and we will consider their changes in the universe to be the result of natural causes. Thus, there may be many Type&nbsp;IV civilizations in the universe, but none of them will be able to detect the others. Moreover, the dimensions of the universe make these supercivilizations like islands far from the others, which Dyson defines as a "[[Lewis Carroll|Carroll]] Universe".<ref name="Galántai-2003" />

For Alexander L. Zaitsev, the radio transmission of interstellar messages (IRM) is the most likely method used by civilizations. Planetary [[radio telescope]]s and those installed on [[asteroid]]s would make it possible to listen to the many messages that could be sent to us.<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Zaitsev |first=Alexander |date=2008 |title=Sending and Searching for Interstellar Messages |journal=Acta Astronautica |volume=63 |issue=5–6 |pages=614–617 |doi=10.1016/j.actaastro.2008.05.014|arxiv=0711.2368 |bibcode=2008AcAau..63..614Z |s2cid=55638129 }}</ref> In 2007, the [[Search for extraterrestrial intelligence|SETI program]] analyzed the only television frequencies sent by a Type&nbsp;0 civilization, notes [[Michio Kaku]]. Therefore, our galaxy may have communications from Type&nbsp;II and III civilizations, but our listening devices can only detect Type&nbsp;0 messages.<ref name="Kaku-2007" />

== Search and detection of civilizations ==

=== The Byurakan Conference (1964) ===<!-- I have submitted a draft of the article (again, translated from French). If it is accepted, I will link it here. - IrrationalBeing, 2023-08-23 -->

From 1962, Kardashev was a member of a [[Search for extraterrestrial intelligence|SETI]] research group at the [[Sternberg Astronomical Institute]] in Moscow. In 1964, he organized the first [[Soviet people|Soviet]] conference on the possibility of extraterrestrial civilizations, which was held at the Byurakan astrophysical observatory in [[Armenia]].<ref name="Darling-2">{{Cite web |last=Darling |first=David |title=Kardashev, Nikolai Semenovich (1932–2019) |url=http://www.daviddarling.info/encyclopedia/K/Kardashev.html |access-date=2023-08-09 |website=www.daviddarling.info |archive-date=2023-08-11 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230811052722/https://www.daviddarling.info/encyclopedia/K/Kardashev.html |url-status=live }}</ref> This national conference was held in response to the American seminar known as the ''Green Bank conference'' of 1961, which was held at the [[Green Bank Observatory|Green Bank observatory]] in the United States.<ref name="Spangenburg-2004">{{Cite book |last1=Spangenburg |first1=Ray |title=Carl Sagan: A Biography |last2=Moser |first2=Kit |date=2004 |publisher=[[Greenwood Publishing Group]] |isbn=978-1591026587 |series=Greenwood Biographies |page=75 |language=en}}</ref> It brought together [[Radio astronomy|radio astronomers]] with the aim of "finding rational technical and linguistic solutions to the problem of communication with an extraterrestrial civilization that is more advanced than the Earth's civilization". Kardashev presented his classification, while Troitskii announced that it was possible to detect signals from other galaxies.<ref>{{Cite book |last=Tovmasyan |first=G. M. |title=Extraterrestrial Civilizations – Problems of Interstellar Communication |year=1971 |editor-last=Kaplan |editor-first=Samuil Aronovich |chapter=Extraterrestrial Civilizations: Proceedings of the First All-Union Conference on Extraterrestrial Civilizations and Interstellar Communication}}</ref>

For Kardashev, "in the next 5 to 10 years, all the sources of radiation with the largest observable flux, in all the regions of the [[electromagnetic spectrum]], will have been discovered and studied", the sensitivity of the listening devices having indeed reached their technical limits. According to him, the entire electromagnetic spectrum will be known and, consequently, the list of the objects that could be artificial sources could thus be extended. The search for artificial signals will then have to concentrate on objects of maximum [[luminosity]] or radiation belonging to a certain region of the spectrum, but also on objects of significant mass, and on those that represent the essence of matter in the Universe. As early as 1971, Kardashev considered that this observation requires the preparation of a plan of listening and analysis, which will allow the success of the search for extraterrestrial civilizations. Humanity will then be able to solve the "[[Fermi paradox|main dilemma]]", as it was stated by [[Enrico Fermi]].<ref name="Kardashev-1971" /> This dilemma is, according to the Soviet astronomer, is certainly connected with our lack of information and knowledge.<ref name="Kardashev-1971" /><ref>{{Cite book |last=Dick |first=Steven J. |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=Dhc6yIlPbpwC |title=The Biological Universe The Twentieth Century Extraterrestrial Life Debate and the Limits of Science |date=1999 |publisher=[[Cambridge University Press]] |isbn=978-0521663618 |edition=1st |archive-date=2023-08-29 |access-date=2023-08-27 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230829131402/https://books.google.com/books?id=Dhc6yIlPbpwC |url-status=live }}</ref>

Kardashev believes that a research project like [[Project Ozma|Ozma]] is incapable of detecting a Type&nbsp;I civilization (an idea also promoted by Kaplan in 1971),<ref name=":0">{{Cite book |last=Kaplan |first=Samuil Aronovich |title=Extraterrestrial Civilizations – Problems of Interstellar Communication |year=1971 |pages=1–11 |chapter=Exosociology – The Search for Signals From Extraterrestrial Civilizations}}</ref> and that SETI should instead focus on searching for intense radio signals that could emanate from active Type&nbsp;II or III civilizations.<ref name="Galantai-2006" /> To prove the effectiveness of this approach, Kardashev therefore turned his attention to two radio sources discovered by the [[California Institute of Technology]], nicknamed CTA-21 and [[CTA-102]]. Subsequently, Gennadii Borisovich Sholomitskii then used the Russian astronomical research station to study the data from CTA-102.<ref name="Spangenburg-2004" /> He found that this [[Astronomical radio source|radio source]] is characterized by its variability. Kardashev then considered that this could be an indication of an artificial emission source, albeit of rather short life span.<ref name="Darling-2" />

=== Towards a "physical eschatology" ===
The knowledge of these hypothetical supercivilizations must fit into a wide range of [[Scientific law|physical laws]] that contain the entirety of our current knowledge, since the technical and scientific developments of mankind can be considered as an inevitable and necessary stage in the process of the evolution of a [[civilization]]. Based on this principle, Kardashev proposes to define several concepts applicable to extraterrestrial civilizations.<ref name="Kardashev-1971" /> The physical laws, which are universal, can be used as a common basis for understanding other civilizations and, in particular, allow us to develop an objective research program.<ref name="Kardashev-1971" /> [[Michio Kaku]] also believes that the evolution of civilizations obeys the "iron laws of physics" and in particular the [[laws of thermodynamics]], those of stable matter ([[Baryon|baryonic matter]]) and those of [[Solar System|planetary evolution]] (probability of occurrence of natural or cosmic catastrophes).<ref name="Kaku-2007" /> The [[anthropic principle]] also makes it possible to predict the sociological characteristics at the basis of any civilization.<ref>{{Cite journal |last1=Bozhilov |first1=V. |last2=Forgan |first2=Duncan H. |date=2010 |title=The entropy principle, and the influence of sociological pressures on SETI |url=https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/international-journal-of-astrobiology/article/abs/entropy-principle-and-the-influence-of-sociological-pressures-on-seti/AACE567C12D1F21E854D5030C8F67D3D |journal=International Journal of Astrobiology |language=en |volume=9 |issue=3 |pages=175–181 |doi=10.1017/S1473550410000133 |arxiv=1004.1822 |bibcode=2010IJAsB...9..175B |s2cid=119197852 |issn=1475-3006 |archive-date=2023-08-27 |access-date=2023-08-27 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230827100101/https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/international-journal-of-astrobiology/article/abs/entropy-principle-and-the-influence-of-sociological-pressures-on-seti/AACE567C12D1F21E854D5030C8F67D3D |url-status=live }}</ref>

However, these universal laws are not the only parameters to consider. Zoltan Galántai explains that "it is impossible to calculate the future of the Universe over long periods of time without including the effects of life and intelligence", a position close to that of [[Freeman Dyson]].<ref name="Zoltan Galántai" /> Taking into account these two phenomena, the universal physical laws and the [[intelligence]] resulting from life, defines a "physical [[eschatology]]", as Galántai puts it. This approach began in the 1970s with the work of Kardashev, and then physical eschatology gradually interested a number of scientists and thinkers, notes Dyson.<ref name="Zoltan Galántai" />

=== A functional definition of civilization ===
[[File:Messier 87 Hubble WikiSky.jpg|alt=On a black background, a round luminous glow.|thumb|Galaxy [[Messier 87|M87]] has an [[active galactic nucleus]], providing a strong [[Ultraluminous X-ray source|source of radiation]] in all [[wavelength]]s. This type of radiation was considered by Kardashev to be one of the possible signals of an advanced civilization.]]
Observation of the development of [[Organism|living organisms]] shows that they are characterized by the tendency to store a maximum amount of [[information]], both about the environment and about themselves. This information then leads to an abstract analysis, which plays an important role in the development of life forms. Thus, Kardashev defines civilization from a functional perspective as "a state of very stable matter capable of acquiring, abstractly analyzing and applying information in order to extract data about the environment and itself, in order to develop survival reactions ".<ref name="Kardashev-1971" /> However, this [[Pragmatism|functional definition]] of civilization implies that it cannot have a [[goal]] or end, since it is based on the principle of accumulating more and more information. Taking up von Hoerner's categories, Kardashev sees four possible scenarios for the development of civilizations:

# Total destruction of life.
# Destruction of only intelligent life.
# Degeneration.
# Loss of interest.

However, he refuses to see these as inevitable ends. But the assumption that the only limit to the development of a civilization can be the existence of a finite amount of information, in all areas, is also false, since it is highly improbable that information in the Universe is infinite.<ref name="Kardashev-1971" /> Given these two [[Hypothesis|hypotheses]], Kardashev argues that there is no universal civilization (supercivilization) because highly developed civilizations lose interest in space exploration. In any case, and despite the problem of the end of civilizations, he concludes, in the light of his functional definition of the advanced civilization, that the latter must use mass and energy on fantastic scales. According to him, there is no reason to denounce the hypothesis that the [[Expansion of the universe|expansion of the Universe]] would not be an effect of the intelligent activity of a supercivilization.<ref name="Kardashev-1971" />

=== Human civilization: a model for extrapolation ===
Kardashev poses the following question: "Is it possible to describe the development of a civilization in general terms over large cosmological periods?" Now many of the fundamental parameters that characterize the development of civilization on Earth are [[Exponential growth|growing exponentially]]. In the field of energy, astronomer Don Goldsmith estimated that the Earth receives about one billionth of the Sun's energy, and that humans use about one millionth of it.<ref name="Kaku-2007" /> So we consume about one millionth of a billionth of the Sun's total energy. Since human expansion is exponential, we can determine how long it will take for humanity to go from Type&nbsp;II to Type&nbsp;III according to [[Michio Kaku]].<ref name="Kaku-2007" /> 

Thus, the rate of development of our own world remains the only criterion for [[Extrapolation|extrapolating]] the state of civilizations older than humanity.<ref name="Kardashev-1971" /> The same is true for social values and basic needs according to Ashkenazi.<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Ashkenazi |first=M. |date=1998-05-01 |title=On the applicability of human cultural models to extraterrestrial intelligence civilizations |url=https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0094576598000344 |journal=Acta Astronautica |volume=42 |issue=10 |pages=739–743 |bibcode=1998AcAau..42..739A |doi=10.1016/S0094-5765(98)00034-4 |issn=0094-5765 |archive-date=2015-09-24 |access-date=2023-08-27 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150924161916/http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0094576598000344 |url-status=live }}</ref> Therefore, the time to double technical knowledge is about ten years, and to double energy output, available reserves, and population is about 25 years. Two scenarios are then possible: spatial expansion or energy stagnation, the latter being possible only for 125 years, according to Kardashev, using the following relationship <math>\alpha = 1.04</math>:

<math display="block">t = \frac{\log \left(P/P_o\right)}{\log \alpha}</math>

where <math>t</math> is the number of years, <math>P</math> is a parameter that increases annually as a function of <math>P_o</math> and of <math>t</math> according to <math>P = P_o \alpha^t</math> and <math>\alpha</math>, a growth rate.

If <math>\alpha = 1.04</math>, then humanity's energy consumption will exceed the incident solar power (1.742 × 10<sup>17</sup> <abbr>W</abbr>) after 240 years, the total power of the [[Sun]] (3.826 × 10<sup>26</sup> <abbr>W</abbr>) after 800 years, and that of the Galaxy (7.29 × 10<sup>36</sup> <abbr>W</abbr>) after 1,500 years.{{NoteTag|1=" If the growth rate a = 1.04 is maintained after the critical period, the human power output will exceed the quantity of incident solar radiation after 240 years, after 800 years the total energy radiated by the Sun will be exceeded, and after 1500 years we will exceed the total radiation output of the entire Galaxy'."}}<ref name="Kardashev-1971" /> Based on this calculation, Zuckerman estimates the number of civilizations that could exist in our [[galaxy]] at 10,000.<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Zuckerman |first=B. |date=1985 |title=Stellar evolution – Motivation for mass interstellar migrations |url=https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/1985QJRAS..26...56Z/abstract |journal=Quarterly Journal of the Royal Astronomical Society |volume=26 |pages=56–59 |bibcode=1985QJRAS..26...56Z |issn=0035-8738 |archive-date=2023-08-27 |access-date=2023-08-27 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230827100101/https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/1985QJRAS..26...56Z/abstract |url-status=live }}</ref> Kardashev concludes that the current exponential growth is a transitional phase in the development of a civilization, and that it is inevitably limited by natural factors. In fact, he believes that the required [[mass]] and [[energy]] will continue to grow exponentially for another 1,000 years.<ref name="Kardashev-1971" /> Civilization is thus defined by an exponential rate of increase. Humanity as a model for thinking about the development of extraterrestrial civilizations has its limitations, which can be truly overcome by a [[Interdisciplinarity|multidisciplinary approach]] according to the work of Kathryn Denning.<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Denning |first=Kathryn |date=2011-02-01 |title=Ten thousand revolutions: conjectures about civilizations |url=https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0094576509005694 |journal=Acta Astronautica |series=SETI Special Edition |volume=68 |issue=3 |pages=381–388 |doi=10.1016/j.actaastro.2009.11.019 |bibcode=2011AcAau..68..381D |issn=0094-5765}}</ref>

===Research conducted===
In 1963, Nikolai Kardashev and Gennady Borissovich Sholomitskii studied the [[CTA-102|CTA 102]] [[Astronomical radio source|radio source]] on the 920&nbsp;MHz band from the ''Crimea Deep Space Station'', looking for signs of a Type&nbsp;III civilization.<ref>{{Cite book |last=Dick |first=Steven J. |title=Life on Other Worlds: The 20th-Century Extraterrestrial Life Debate |publisher=[[Cambridge University Press]] |year=2001 |isbn=9780521620123 |page=304}}</ref> CTA 102 had been discovered by Sholomitskii a year earlier, and Kardashev quickly saw it as a possible artificial source to study in order to validate his classification. The observation lasted until February 1965, and on April 12, Sholomitskii announced to the press (via the Russian [[TASS|ITAR-TASS]]) that Soviet astronomers had discovered a signal that could be of extraterrestrial origin. On April 14, he gave a conference in Moscow where he repeated his announcement; but by November 1964, two American astronomers had identified CTA 102 as a [[quasar]], and their publication definitively closed the "CTA 102 case".<ref>{{Cite book |last=Heidmann |first=Jean |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=7G2p3vWjNeQC |title=Extraterrestrial Intelligence |publisher=[[Cambridge University Press]] |year=1997 |isbn=978-0521453400 |pages=150–151}}</ref> It was the study of this source that had led to the Byurakan conference in 1964.<ref name="Braude-2012">{{Cite book |last1=Braude |first1=S. Y. |title=A Brief History of Radio Astronomy in the USSR |last2=Dubinskii |first2=B. A. |last3=Kaidanovskii |first3=N. L. |last4=Kardashev |first4=N. S. |last5=Kobrin |first5=M. M. |last6=Kuzmin |first6=A. D. |last7=Molchanov |first7=A. P. |last8=Pariiskii |first8=Yu. N. |last9=Rzhiga |first9=O. N. |year=2012 |isbn=978-94-007-2833-2 |series=Astrophysics and Space Science Library |volume=382 |pages=96–97 |bibcode=2012ASSL..382.....B |doi=10.1007/978-94-007-2834-9 |last10=Salomonovich |first10=A. E. |last11=Samanian |first11=V. A. |last12=Shklovskii |first12=I. S. |last13=Sorochenko |first13=R. L. |last14=Troitskii |first14=V. S. |last15=Kellermann |first15=K. I.}}</ref>

In 1975 and 1976, the American astronomers [[Frank Drake]] and [[Carl Sagan]] searched at [[Arecibo Telescope|Arecibo]] for signs of Type&nbsp;II civilizations in four galaxies of the [[Local Group]]: [[Triangulum Galaxy|M33]], [[Messier 49|M49]], [[Leo I (dwarf galaxy)|Leo I]] and [[Leo II (dwarf galaxy)|Leo II]].<ref name="Sagan-1976">{{Cite journal |last1=Sagan |first1=Carl |last2=Drake |first2=Francis |date=1976 |title=A Search of four Nearby Galaxies for Type II Civilizations |journal=Not Published}}</ref><ref name="Freitas-2008">{{Cite web |last=Freitas |first=Robert A. |date=2008 |title=SETI: Searches Through 1978 |url=https://www.xenology.info/Xeno/24.2.5.htm |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230810230226/https://www.xenology.info/Xeno/24.2.5.htm |archive-date=2023-08-10 |access-date=2023-08-08 |website=xenology.info}}</ref> The year before, the two men had sent [[Arecibo message|mankind's first message]] to [[Messier 13|M13]].<ref name="Dick-2006">{{Cite web |last1=Dick |first1=Steven J. |last2=Launius |first2=Roger D. |date=2006 |title=Critical Issues in the History of Spaceflight |url=https://history.nasa.gov/SP-2006-4702/frontmatter.pdf |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230727035449/https://history.nasa.gov/SP-2006-4702/frontmatter.pdf |archive-date=2023-07-27 |access-date=2023-08-24 |publisher=NASA}}</ref> The results were published as "The Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence" in ''[[Scientific American]]'' in May 1975.<ref name="Sagan-1975">{{Cite magazine |last1=Sagan |first1=Carl |last2=Drake |first2=Frank |date=1975 |title=The Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence |url=http://www.is.wayne.edu/MNISSANI/A%26S/ET.htm |magazine=[[Scientific American]] |volume=232 |issue=5 |pages=80–89 |bibcode=1975SciAm.232e..80S |doi=10.1038/scientificamerican0575-80 |access-date=2023-08-08 |archive-date=2013-10-20 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131020034117/http://www.is.wayne.edu/MNISSANI/A%26S/ET.htm |url-status=dead }}</ref>

In 1976, Kardashev, Troitskii, and Gindilis used the [[RATAN-600]] radio telescope in the North Caucasus to search for signals from Type&nbsp;II or III civilizations in the [[Milky Way]] and other nearby galaxies.<ref name="Freitas-2008" /> The radio telescope was built in 1966 under the supervision of Gindilis to listen at centimeter wavelengths.<ref name="Braude-2012" />

In 1987, [[Jill Tarter|Tarter]], Kardashev, and Slysh used the [[Very Large Array|VLA]] to detect possible infrared sources near the galactic center from the [[IRAS]] telescope catalog. All three were looking for evidence of hypothetical [[Dyson sphere]]s. The objects turn out to be [[Hydroxy group|OH]]/[[Infrared|IR]] type stars.<ref name="Freitas-2008" /><ref>{{Cite web |title=Observation Begin date: 1987 |url=http://observations.seti.org/observations/193 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131114000918/http://observations.seti.org/observations/193 |archive-date=2013-11-14 |access-date=2023-08-27}}</ref>

A small-scale search for possible Type&nbsp;III sources was conducted by James Annis in 1999 and published in the ''Journal of the British Interplanetary Society'' under the title "Placing a limit on star-fed Kardashev type III civilizations".<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Annis |first=James |date=1999 |title=Placing a limit on star-fed Kardashev type III civilisations |url=https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/1999JBIS...52...33A/abstract |journal=Journal of the British Interplanetary Society |volume=52 |issue=1 |pages=33–36 |bibcode=1999JBIS...52...33A |archive-date=2023-08-27 |access-date=2023-08-27 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230827100101/https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/1999JBIS...52...33A/abstract |url-status=live }}</ref> An astrophysicist at [[Fermilab]] (US), Annis studied a sample of 31 galaxies, both [[Spiral galaxy|spiral]] and [[Elliptical galaxy|elliptical]], using the [[Tully–Fisher relation|Tully-Fisher diagram]], in which the [[absolute magnitude]] is a function of the galaxies' rotational speed. Annis suggested that 75% of the least luminous objects (i.e., those with a decrease in absolute magnitude of 1.5 compared to the diagram) could be considered as possible candidates. However, no object with this characteristic is observed in his survey.<ref name="Calissendorff-2013" /><ref name="Semay-1998" /> On the other hand, Annis uses the available astronomical data to estimate the probability that a Type&nbsp;III civilization could exist. He shows that the average time that could allow for the emergence of such a civilization is 300 billion years, so none can exist in our present Universe.<ref>{{Cite book |last=Beech |first=Martin |title=Rejuvenating the Sun and Avoiding Other Global Catastrophes (Astronomers' Universe) |publisher=Springer |year=2007 |isbn=978-0387681283 |page=240}}</ref>

Per Calissendorff conducted a study on a sample of spiral galaxies from two databases: 4,861 from the ''Spiral Field I-band'' (SFI++ catalog compiled by Springob et al. in 2005) and 95 from that of Reyes et al. in 2011.<ref name="Calissendorff-2013" /> The same procedure was followed as in Annis, but the sample of galaxies used is 80 times larger than that used in the Annis study.<ref name="Calissendorff-2013" /> Some sources were classified as "lopsided": they appear [[Symmetry|asymmetric]] in shape, meaning that one side of the [[galactic disc]] is more massive and less luminous than the other. This characteristic, according to Calissendorff, could be an indication that the galaxy is home to a civilization that has placed Dyson spheres in its main part. This can be explained by the fact that the colonization starts from one side of the galactic disk, making it appear darker and leading a distant observer to believe that the core has moved to that same side.<ref name="Calissendorff-2013" /> On the other hand, a galaxy hosting Dyson spheres should be characterized by a significant source of far-[[infrared]] radiation.<ref name="Calissendorff-2013" /> The fact remains that a Type&nbsp;III civilization can consume energy through a Dyson sphere without surrounding a star. Indeed, such [[megastructure]]s could also extract energy from a [[black hole]], according to the study by Inoue and Yokoo (2011). However, such a structure would not reduce the luminosity of an observed galaxy.<ref name="Calissendorff-2013" /> Calissendorff's study concludes that 11 of the sources analyzed (out of a catalog of 2,411 galaxies, or 0.46%) show possible evidence of a Type&nbsp;III civilization. Searching for objects that obscure 90% of the light leaves only one source remains that meets the criteria.<ref name="Calissendorff-2013" /> These positive sources show a low [[redshift]] (so they are old, about 100 million years), which is consistent with possible Type&nbsp;III civilizations, that could have flourished only in the early past.<ref name="Calissendorff-2013" /> To have a better chance of detecting Type&nbsp;III artificial sources, Calissendorff suggests taking several photographs in a row, fast enough to fix the movement of turbulence in the atmosphere, applying different [[Photometry (astronomy)|photometric filters]] and looking for dark areas (the case of a Dyson sphere being assembled by a Type&nbsp;II civilization), or analyzing the infrared spectrum of galaxies. A much larger sample of objects should be studied.<ref name="Calissendorff-2013" />

=== Observational evidence ===
In 2015, a study of galactic mid-[[infrared]] emissions concluded that "Kardashev Type&nbsp;III civilizations are either very rare or do not exist in the [[Observable universe|local Universe]]".<ref>{{Cite journal |last1=Garrett |first1=Michael |year=2015 |title=The application of the Mid-IR radio correlation to the Ĝ sample and the search for advanced extraterrestrial civilizations |journal=[[Astronomy & Astrophysics]] |volume=581 |page=L5 |arxiv=1508.02624 |bibcode=2015A&A...581L...5G |doi=10.1051/0004-6361/201526687 |s2cid=67817641}}</ref>

In 2016, Paul Gilster, author of the Centauri Dreams website, described a signal apparently coming from the star [[HD 164595]] as requiring the power of a Type&nbsp;I or Type&nbsp;II civilization, if produced by extraterrestrial lifeforms.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Gilster |first=Paul |date=2016-08-27 |title=An Interesting SETI Candidate in Hercules |url=https://www.centauri-dreams.org/2016/08/27/an-interesting-seti-candidate-in-hercules/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180110150834/https://www.centauri-dreams.org/?p=36248 |archive-date=2018-01-10 |access-date=2023-08-24 |work=Centauri Dreams |language=en-US}}</ref> In August 2016, however, it was discovered that the origin of the signal was most likely a military satellite orbiting the Earth.<ref>{{Cite web |date=2016-08-30 |title=Alien signal detected by Russian astrophysicists turns out to be terrestrial disturbance |url=https://tass.com/science/896683 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160903050039/http://tass.com/science/896683 |archive-date=2016-09-03 |access-date=2016-09-02 |website=tass.com |publisher=TASS |location=St. Petersburg, Russia}}</ref>

=== Possible listening criteria ===

==== Kardashev's point of view ====
According to Kardashev, our ignorance of the physical possibilities of communication through space is great.<ref name="Kardashev-1971" /> We know only a negligible fraction of the [[electromagnetic spectrum]] and, therefore, of the existing sources of information in the Universe.<ref name="Kardashev-1971" /> Thus, of the 89% of information that we lack, 42% concerns the range from 10<sup>9</sup> to 10<sup>14</sup> Hz (centimetric, millimetric, submillimetric and infrared waves) and 25% concerns the range from 10<sup>15</sup> to 10<sup>18</sup> Hz (ultraviolet radiation and X-rays).<ref name="Kardashev-1971" /> Kardashev distinguishes two categories of listening areas: objects emitting in a broad frequency spectrum and objects emitting on the contrary in a narrow [[spectral line]], the second category posing much more theoretical problems than the first, while being central, both for [[astrophysics]] and for the search for extraterrestrial civilizations.<ref name="Kardashev-1971" /> 

Despite advances in astrophysics, the available information is still insufficient to prove the absence of supercivilizations, based on the inability to observe signs of activity. However, because of the possibility that planetary systems are much older than our own, and considering that cosmic objects such as [[quasar]]s could be products of supercivilization activity, a detailed program of listening and searching for intelligent signs remains valid. This program includes:<ref name="Kardashev-1971" />

* Monitoring the sky at 3, 10, 30, 100 and 300 microns, especially at 1, 3, and 10&nbsp;mm, in order to identify one hundred of the most powerful sources among those observed and at each frequency;
* Study in detail the properties of quasars and other unusual objects;
* Search for monochromatic anomalies among the most powerful [[Astronomical radio source|radio sources]] (such as a [[Hydroxy group|hydroxyl]] emission line), in the decimeter band;
* Search for periodic signals ([[pulsar]]s) of interstellar origin, in the same band;
* Searches for monochromatic signals of different frequencies, always in the same band.

According to Kardashev, only a [[Interferometry|radio interferometer]] with a base, either of the order of or larger than the diameter of the [[Earth]], placed in orbital space, would allow listening to centimetric and decimetric frequencies.<ref name="Kardashev-1971" /> Once a set of unusual sources has been selected, the next step is to look for significant content in the radiations from these objects.<ref name="Kardashev-1971" /> In 1998, Nikolai Kardashev, S. F. Likhachev, and V. I. Zhuravlev proposed two [[Search for extraterrestrial intelligence|SETI]] space projects to detect artificial sources: the ''Millimetron'' project (an orbiting observatory with a 10-meter diameter mirror) and the ''VLBI optical telescope'' (for interferometric synthesis of ultraviolet, optical, and infrared images).<ref>{{Cite journal |last1=Kardashev |first1=N. S |last2=Likhachev |first2=S. F |last3=Zhuravlev |first3=V. I |date=1998-05-01 |title=Space program for SETI |url=https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0094576598000113 |journal=Acta Astronautica |volume=42 |issue=10 |pages=585–587 |doi=10.1016/S0094-5765(98)00011-3 |bibcode=1998AcAau..42..585K |issn=0094-5765}}</ref>

==== Other leads ====
For [[Samuil Kaplan|Samuil Aronovich Kaplan]], "the most reliable criterion" remains the small [[angular diameter]] of the radio source. The [[wavelength]] of 21&nbsp;cm, privileged since 1959, according to the study of Cocconi and Morrison, is not the only listening region. Kaplan, in 1971, also mentioned the radio region of the spectrum, characterized by the [[hydroxyl radical]] (OH). For Livio, the means of detection should focus on [[globular cluster]]s, the regions most likely to harbor planets similar to the Earth.<ref name="Carrigan Jr.-20102"/>

For Guillermo A. Lemarchand, extraterrestrial civilizations should not use an omnidirectional transmitter. Instead, they should look for signals of weak information, intermittent and unidirectional. They will certainly need to use [[interferometry]] to inspect solar systems where life might appear. From Earth, it would be possible to pick up such signals at distances of up to {{Math|35 + (t_f - 2000) / 2}}, where {{Math|t_f}} is the observation date in years, knowing that {{Math|t_f ≥ 2000}}.<ref name="Lemarchand-20002"/> However, there are many techniques for transmitting an interstellar message, ranging from [[boson]]s to [[particle]]s and even [[antiparticle]]s.<ref name="Lemarchand" />

An artificial source located in the [[accretion disk]] of a [[supermassive black hole]] would be undetectable by the beams used to transmit the collected energy. In fact, the probability of detecting a beam of one [[Micrometre|micron]] [[Minute and second of arc|arc-second]] is less than 10<sup>−23</sup>. Moreover, the energy emitted by the black hole would not allow detection of the energy used by the Type&nbsp;III civilization. On the other hand, the [[specular reflection]] system of the radiation could be detected by the shadow it casts on the accretion disk.<ref name="Inoue-2011" />

A Type&nbsp;III civilization using a "[[Galactic Center|Fermi bubble]]" would be detectable by the fact that it decreases the luminosity of a region of the galaxy. An infrared observation would make it possible to highlight it, especially in [[Elliptical galaxy|elliptical galaxies]], Annis suggests.<ref name="Carrigan Jr.-20102"/>

=== Unusual objects ===
[[File:Quasar 3C 273.jpg|alt=Color photo. A luminous celestial object appears against a black background.|thumb|Quasar [[3C 273]], the brightest ever observed]]
The quasar [[3C 9]] is cited by Kardashev as early as 1971.<ref name="Kardashev-1971" /> The study of the quasar [[3C 273]] shows that it has a solid structure. Other quasars ([[3C 279]], [[3C 345]], 3C 84) have properties close to those expected from an artificial source, especially since the emissions are powerful in the intermediate region of the spectrum (between radio and optical frequencies).<ref name="Kardashev-1971" /> Quasars are potential artificial sources, especially since their age corresponds to the technical possibilities of supercivilizations. Radio sources at the center of galaxies can also be artificial sources, according to Kardashev, even if in 2013 they were proven to be supermassive black holes. In 1971, Kardashev believed that the objects most likely to be artificial sources could be discovered in the [then] next few years.<ref name="Kardashev-1971" />

The extraordinary periodicity of [[pulsar]] emissions was already considered an artificial source in 1968 by [[Antony Hewish]], the discoverer of the first pulsar ([[PSR B1919+21|CP 19019]]). The press of the time nicknamed this object "LGM-1" (for "little green men"), following the clumsiness of Hewish, who did not wait for the necessary verifications. Kaplan, in 1971, removed the pulsar from the list of objects that could be a source of artificial origin.<ref name=":0" />

In 2011, James and Dominic Benford examined the possibilities that exist to distinguish pulsars from possible artificial sources emitting intelligent signals, such as: bandwidth (signals of about 100&nbsp;MHz could be artificial), pulse length (to reduce costs, the pulse should be short) and frequency (about 10&nbsp;GHz, also for economic reasons). The [[Astronomical radio source|radio source]] PSR J1928+15 (observed in 2005 near the Galactic disk, at a frequency of 1.44&nbsp;GHz, at [[Arecibo Observatory|Arecibo]]) could be of extraterrestrial origin. James and Dominic Benford consider three scenarios in which the cost factor is taken into account. If the source is cost-optimized, it belongs to a civilization of Type 0.35 (the Earth being of Type 0.73).{{NoteTag|According to Sagan's interpolated Kardashev scale, as of 2021}} If it is not cost-optimized and operates with a small antenna, the Type is 0.86. With a large antenna, it would be from a Type 0.66. Using this cost/efficiency method, it can be estimated that low-intensity sources may be the most prevalent, but also the most difficult to observe.<ref>{{Cite arXiv |last1=Benford |first1=James |last2=Benford |first2=Dominic |date=2010 |title=How can we distinguish transient pulsars from SETI beacons? |class=astro-ph.IM |eprint=1003.5938 }}</ref>

== Criticisms of the classification ==

=== Irrelevant assumptions ===
William I. Newman and [[Carl Sagan]] believe that the growth of energy consumption alone cannot describe the evolution of civilizations; it is also necessary to consider [[population growth]], and in particular the fact that it can be limited by the transport capacity of interplanetary means of travel. They conclude that there can be no ancient civilizations of galactic dimensions, nor galactic empires, although the possibility of networks of colonized worlds (of about 5 to 10 planets) is strong.<ref>{{Cite journal |last1=Newman |first1=William I. |last2=Sagan |first2=Carl |date=1981 |title=Galactic civilizations: Population dynamics and interstellar diffusion |url=http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/1981Icar...46..293N |journal=Icarus |volume=46 |issue=3 |pages=293–327 |bibcode=1981Icar...46..293N |doi=10.1016/0019-1035(81)90135-4 |hdl-access=free |hdl=2060/19790011801 |archive-date=2018-08-26 |access-date=2023-08-09 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180826101544/http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/1981Icar...46..293N |url-status=live }}</ref>

The scale theorized by Kardashev was born in the geopolitical context of the [[Cold War]], in which energy had supreme value.<ref name="Wilson-20112"/> According to Guillermo A. Lemarchand, a physicist at the University of Buenos Aires, there are four arguments against Kardashev's classification:<ref name="Lemarchand-20002"/>

# Long range omnidirectional transmitters would be very energy intensive. Using directional or intermittent devices, each pointing in a different direction, would require much less energy. Type&nbsp;II or III civilizations might therefore be defined by something other than exponential energy consumption.
# The assumption of exponential energy consumption is certainly wrong, because if we analyze per capita energy consumption throughout human history, it forms a series of [[Logistic function|logistic curves]] with a saturation point for each technological innovation. Therefore, a steady state or limited growth is more likely.
# According to the [[Mediocrity principle|principle of mediocrity]], applied to the search for extraterrestrial civilizations by Sagan and Shklovskii in 1966 on the basis of [[J. Richard Gott|John Richard Gott]]'s calculations,<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Gott |first=J. R. |date=1993 |title=Implications of the Copernican Principle for our Future Prospects |url=http://www-psych.stanford.edu/~jbt/224/Gott_93.pdf |journal=Nature |volume=363 |issue=6427 |pages=315–319 |bibcode=1993Natur.363..315G |doi=10.1038/363315a0 |s2cid=4252750 |archive-date=2013-04-18 |access-date=2023-08-09 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130418071905/http://www-psych.stanford.edu/~jbt/224/Gott_93.pdf |url-status=dead }}</ref> civilizations more important than ours must be so rare that they do not have the possibility to dominate and be visible.
# Finally, research and listening programs in Harvard University and Buenos Aires (Horowitz and Sagan in 1993 or Lemarchand et al. in 1997) have not provided any scientific proof of the existence of artificial sources, neither in the Milky Way nor in nearby galaxies ([[M33 X-7|M33]], [[M81 Group|M81]], the [[Whirlpool Galaxy]] or [[Centaurus A]]), or even in the [[Virgo Cluster|Virgo cluster]].

For the British meteorologist [[Lewis Fry Richardson]], author of a statistical study on mortality (published in ''Statistics of Deadly Quarrels'', 1960), man's aggressiveness does not allow us to predict a [[Life expectancy|life span]] that will allow humanity to reach more evolved stages. He estimates that man's violent [[Impulsivity|impulses]] will destroy the social order over a period of 1000 years. Moreover, mankind will probably be destroyed with [[Weapon of mass destruction|weapons of mass destruction]] within a few centuries at the most.<ref name="Lemarchand-20002"/>

[[Transhumanism|Transhumanists]] Paul Hughes and John Smart explain the absence of signals from a Type&nbsp;III civilization with two hypotheses: either it has self-destructed or it has not followed the trajectory described by Kardashev.<ref name="Galantai-2006" /> The growth of energy consumption should lead to a climate crisis, which [[Yvan Dutil]] and [[Stéphane Dumas (astrophysicist)|Stéphane Dumas]] set at 1 [[Watt|W]]/m{{sup|2}} of the [[Earth]] or 127 [[Terawatt|TW]] for the entire planet. At a growth rate of 2% per year, an industrial civilization should stop growing quite early in its history (after a few centuries).<ref name="Dutil-2007">{{cite book |last1=Dutil |first1=Y. |title=Bioastronomy 2007: Molecules, Microbes and Extraterrestrial Life |last2=Dumas |first2=S. |date=2007 |isbn=978-1-58381-720-9 |editor1=Meech |editor-first=K. J. |series=ASP Conference Series |volume=420 |pages=439–442 |chapter=Sustainability: A Tedious Path to Galactic Colonization |editor2=Keane |editor-first2=J. V. |editor3=Mumma |editor-first3=M. J. |editor4=Siefert |editor-first4=J. L. |editor5=Werthimer |editor-first5=D. J. |chapter-url=https://www.aspbooks.org/publications/420/439.pdf |arxiv=0711.1777 |archive-date=2024-12-09 |access-date=2023-08-10 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241209213241/https://www.aspbooks.org/publications/420/439.pdf |url-status=live }}</ref> In summary, the impossibility of sustainably securing energy resources may explain the absence of Type&nbsp;II and III civilizations.<ref name="Dutil-2007" />

For Zoltan Galántai, it is not possible to imagine a civilization project that spans centuries (like a [[Dyson sphere]]) or even millions of years, unless one imagines a thought and an [[Ethics|ethic]] different from ours, within the reach of an ancestral civilization. He therefore proposes to classify civilizations according to their ability to carry out large-scale civilization projects over the long term.<ref name="Galantai-2006" />

Finally, for [[Freeman Dyson]], communication and life can continue forever in an [[Shape of the universe|open Universe]] with a finite amount of energy; intelligence is therefore the only fundamental parameter for a civilization to survive in the very long term, and energy is then no longer what defines it, a thesis he develops in his article "Time Without End: Physics and Biology in an Open Universe".<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Dyson |first=Freeman J. |date=1979 |title=Time Without End: Physics and Biology in an Open Universe |url=http://scilib.narod.ru/Physics/Dyson/dyson.pdf |journal=Reviews of Modern Physics |volume=51 |issue=3 |pages=447–460 |doi=10.1103/RevModPhys.51.447 |bibcode=1979RvMP...51..447D |archive-date=2014-02-11 |access-date=2023-08-09 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140211201711/http://scilib.narod.ru/Physics/Dyson/dyson.pdf |url-status=dead }}</ref>

== Energy development ==
{{See also|Energy development}}

=== Type&nbsp;I civilization methods ===
* Large-scale application of [[fusion power]]: In terms of [[mass–energy equivalence]], Type&nbsp;I implies the conversion of about 2&nbsp;kg of matter to energy per second. An equivalent energy release could theoretically be achieved by fusing about 280&nbsp;kg of [[hydrogen]] [[Proton–proton chain reaction|into]] [[helium]] per second,<ref>{{cite book |last=Souers |first=P. C. |title=Hydrogen properties for fusion energy |publisher=[[University of California Press]] |date=1986 |page=4 |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=I2K6DKA1IMwC |isbn=978-0-520-05500-1 |access-date=2020-06-06 |archive-date=2020-07-08 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200708232727/https://books.google.com/books?id=I2K6DKA1IMwC |url-status=live |via=[[Google Books]]}}</ref> a rate roughly equivalent to 8.9{{e|9}}&nbsp;kg/year. One cubic kilometer of water contains about {{10^|11}}&nbsp;kg of hydrogen, and the Earth's [[ocean]]s contain about [[ocean#Physical properties|1.3{{e|9}}&nbsp;cubic kilometers of water]], meaning that humans on Earth could sustain this rate of consumption over geological time scales, in terms of available hydrogen.
* [[Antimatter]] in large quantities would provide a mechanism to produce power on a scale several orders of magnitude beyond the current level of technology.{{citation needed|date=January 2018}} In antimatter-matter collisions, all of the [[rest mass]] of the particles is converted to [[radiant energy]]. Their [[energy density]] (energy released per mass) is about four orders of magnitude greater than that from using [[nuclear fission]], and about two orders of magnitude greater than the best possible yield from [[nuclear fusion|fusion]].<ref>{{cite conference |first=Steve K. |last=Borowski |author-link=Lewis Research Center |title=Comparison of Fusion/Anti-matter Propulsion Systems for Interplanetary Travel |book-title=Technical Memorandum 107030 |pages=1–3 |publisher=[[National Aeronautics and Space Administration]] |date=1987-07-29 |location=San Diego, California, USA |url=http://gltrs.grc.nasa.gov/reports/1996/TM-107030.pdf |access-date=2008-01-28 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080528030524/http://gltrs.grc.nasa.gov/reports/1996/TM-107030.pdf |archive-date=2008-05-28}}</ref> The reaction of 1&nbsp;[[kilogram|kg]] of antimatter with 1&nbsp;kg of matter would produce 1.8{{e|17}}&nbsp;[[joule|J]] (180 [[petajoules]]) of energy.<ref>By the [[mass–energy equivalence]] formula ''E''&nbsp;=&nbsp;''mc''². See [[Antimatter fuel|antimatter as a fuel source]] for the energy comparisons.</ref> Although antimatter is sometimes proposed as a source of energy,<ref>{{Cite book |last=Zubrin |first=Robert |title=Entering Space: Creating a Spacefaring Civilization |publisher=TarcherPerigee |year=2000 |isbn=978-1585420360 |pages=197–201 |language=en}}</ref> this does not seem feasible. Artificially producing antimatter – according to current understanding of the laws of physics – involves first converting energy into mass, which yields no net energy. Artificially created antimatter is usable only as an energy storage medium, not as an energy source, unless future technological developments (contrary to the conservation of the [[baryon number]], such as a [[CP violation]] in favor of antimatter) allow the conversion of ordinary matter into anti-matter. Theoretically, humans may be able to cultivate and harvest a number of naturally occurring sources of antimatter in the future.<ref>{{Cite news |url=http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2011/08/110810-antimatter-belt-earth-trapped-pamela-space-science/ |title=Antimatter Found Orbiting Earth—A First |first=Ker |last=Than |work=[[National Geographic News]] |date=August 10, 2011 |access-date=August 25, 2011 |archive-date=October 10, 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111010014111/http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2011/08/110810-antimatter-belt-earth-trapped-pamela-space-science |url-status=dead }}</ref><ref>{{cite journal |author1=Adriani |author2=Barbarino |author3=Bazilevskaya |author4=Bellotti |author5=Boezio |author6=Bogomolov |author7=Bongi |author8=Bonvicini |author9=Borisov |title=The discovery of geomagnetically trapped cosmic ray antiprotons |doi=10.1088/2041-8205/736/1/L1 |date=2011 |journal=[[The Astrophysical Journal]] |volume=736 |pages=L1 |issue=29 |arxiv=1107.4882 |bibcode=2011ApJ...736L...1H |s2cid=250780365}}</ref><ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-12158718 |work=[[BBC News]] |title=Antimatter caught streaming from thunderstorms on Earth |first=Jason |last=Palmer |date=2011-01-11 |access-date=2015-12-29 |archive-date=2011-01-12 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110112080623/http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-12158718 |url-status=live}}</ref>
* [[Renewable energy]] by converting sunlight into electricity – either directly through [[solar cell]]s and [[concentrating solar power]], or indirectly through [[biofuel]]s, [[wind power|wind]], and [[hydroelectric power]]: There is no known way for a [[civilization|human civilization]] to harness the equivalent of the Earth's total absorbed solar energy without completely covering the surface with man-made structures, which is not feasible with current technology. However, if a civilization constructed very large [[space-based solar power]] [[satellite]]s, Type&nbsp;I power levels might become achievable—these could convert sunlight to microwave power and beam it to collectors on Earth.

=== Type&nbsp;II civilization methods ===
[[Image:Dyson Swarm - 2.png|right|thumb|A figure of a [[Dyson Swarm|Dyson swarm]] surrounding a star|alt=]]
* Type&nbsp;II civilizations could use the same techniques as a Type&nbsp;I civilization, but applied to a large number of planets in a large number of star systems.
* A [[Dyson sphere]] or [[Dyson swarm]] and similar constructs are hypothetical [[megastructure]]s originally described by [[Freeman Dyson]] as a system of orbiting [[solar power satellite]]s designed to completely encircle a [[star]] and capture most or all of its energy output.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Dyson |first=Freeman J. |author-link=Freeman Dyson |editor-last=Marshak |editor-first=R. E. |title=The Search for Extraterrestrial Technology |newspaper=Perspectives in Modern Physics |publisher=[[John Wiley & Sons]] |place=New York |date=1966 |bibcode=1966pmp..book..641D}}</ref>
* Another means of generating usable energy would be to feed a stellar mass into a [[black hole]], and collect the photons emitted by the [[accretion disk]].<ref>{{cite web |last=Newman |first=Phil |title=New Energy Source "Wrings" Power from Black Hole Spin |publisher=[[NASA]] |date=2001-10-22 |url=http://www.gsfc.nasa.gov/topstory/20011015blackhole.html |access-date=2008-02-19 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080209231442/http://www.gsfc.nasa.gov/topstory/20011015blackhole.html <!-- Bot retrieved archive --> |archive-date=2008-02-09}}</ref><ref>{{cite book |last=Schutz |first=Bernard F. |title=A First Course in General Relativity |publisher=[[Cambridge University Press]] |date=1985 |location=New York |pages=304, 305 |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=qhDFuWbLlgQC |isbn=978-0-521-27703-7 |access-date=2019-07-29 |archive-date=2020-07-10 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200710105132/https://books.google.com/books?id=qhDFuWbLlgQC |url-status=live |via=[[Google Books]]}}</ref> A less exotic means would be to simply capture photons already escaping from the accretion disk, thereby reducing a black hole's [[angular momentum]]; this is known as the [[Penrose process]]. However, this may only be possible for a Type&nbsp;III civilization.
* [[Star lifting]] is a process by which an advanced civilization could remove a substantial portion of a star's matter in a controlled manner for other uses.
* [[Antimatter]] is likely to be produced as an industrial [[byproduct]] of a number of [[megascale engineering]] processes (such as the aforementioned star lifting), and could therefore be recycled.{{citation needed|date=July 2014}}
* In [[star system|multiple star systems]] with a sufficiently large number of stars: absorbing a small but significant fraction of the output of each individual star.
* [[Stellar engine]]s can be used to move stars.

=== Type&nbsp;III civilization methods ===
* Type&nbsp;III civilizations might use the same techniques as a Type&nbsp;II civilization, but applied individually to all possible stars in one or more galaxies.<ref name=Kardashev1985/>
* They may also be able to tap into the energy released by the [[supermassive black hole]]s believed to exist at the center of most galaxies.<ref>{{Cite journal |last1=Hsiao |first1=Tiger Yu-Yang |last2=Goto |first2=Tomotsugu |last3=Hashimoto |first3=Tetsuya |last4=Santos |first4=Daryl Joe D. |last5=On |first5=Alvina Y. L. |last6=Kilerci-Eser |first6=Ece |last7=Wong |first7=Yi Hang Valerie |last8=Kim |first8=Seong Jin |last9=Wu |first9=Cossas K.-W. |last10=Ho |first10=Simon C.-C. |last11=Lu |first11=Ting-Yi |date=2021-07-15 |title=A Dyson Sphere around a black hole |journal=Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society |volume=506 |issue=2 |pages=1723–1732 |doi=10.1093/mnras/stab1832 |doi-access=free |issn=0035-8711|arxiv=2106.15181 }}</ref>
* [[White holes]] could theoretically provide large amounts of energy by collecting the matter ejected outward.
* Capturing the energy of [[gamma-ray burst]]s is another theoretically possible power source for an advanced civilization.
* The emissions from [[quasars]] are comparable to those from small active galaxies and could be a massive power source if they could be collected.

== Civilization implications ==
There are many historical examples of human civilization undergoing large-scale transitions, such as the [[Industrial Revolution]]. The transitions between Kardashev scale levels could potentially represent similarly dramatic periods of social upheaval, as they involve exceeding the hard limits of the resources available within a civilization's existing territory. A common speculation<ref>{{cite journal |last=Dyson |first=Freeman |author-link=Freeman Dyson |title=Search for Artificial Stellar Sources of Infrared Radiation |journal=[[Science (journal)|Science]] |volume=131 |issue=3414 |pages=1667–1668 |date=1960-06-03 |url=http://www.islandone.org/LEOBiblio/SETI1.HTM |doi=10.1126/science.131.3414.1667 |access-date=2008-01-30 |pmid=17780673 |bibcode=1960Sci...131.1667D |s2cid=3195432 |archive-date=2019-07-14 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190714215002/http://www.islandone.org/LEOBiblio/SETI1.HTM |url-status=live}}</ref> is that the transition from Type&nbsp;0 to Type&nbsp;I could carry a strong risk of self-destruction, since in some scenarios there would be no room for further expansion on the civilization's home planet, as in a [[Malthusian catastrophe]].

For example, excessive energy consumption without adequate heat removal could plausibly render the planet of a Type I approaching civilization unsuitable for the biology of the [[Human|dominant life forms]] and their food sources. Using Earth as an example, ocean temperatures above 95&nbsp;°F (35&nbsp;°C) would endanger marine life and make it difficult, if not impossible, for mammals to cool to temperatures suitable for their [[metabolism]]. Of course, these [[theoretical]] speculations may not become problems, possibly through the application of future [[climate engineering|engineering]] and [[technology]]. Also, by the time a civilization reaches Type&nbsp;I, it may have colonized other planets or established [[O'Neill cylinder|O'Neill-type colonies]], so that waste heat could be distributed throughout the star system.

The limitations of biological life forms and the evolution of computer technology may lead to the transformation of the civilization through [[mind uploading]] and [[artificial general intelligence]] in general during the transition from Type&nbsp;I to Type&nbsp;II, leading to a [[Matrioshka brain|digitized civilization]].

== See also ==
{{Portal|Technology|Energy|Engineering|Astronomy|Science Fiction}}
{{div col|colwidth=38em}}
* [[Astronomical engineering]]
* [[Clarke's three laws]]
* [[Drake equation]]
* [[Dyson sphere]]
* [[Gerhard Lenski]]
* [[Great Filter]]
* [[HD 164595]]
* [[Orders of magnitude (energy)]]
* [[Orders of magnitude (power)]]
* [[Quiet and loud aliens]]
* [[Tabby's Star]] (KIC 8462852)
* [[Terraforming]]
* [[White's law]]
* [[World energy supply and consumption]]
{{div col end}}

== Notes ==
{{reflist|group=note}}

== References ==
{{reflist|30em}}

== Further reading ==
{{Library resources box}}

{{Refbegin|30em}}
* Dyson, Freeman J. ''Energy in the Universe'' Article in September 1971 ''[[Scientific American]]'' magazine (Special September Issue on ''Energy'')
* [http://www.hawaii.gov/dbedt/ert/femp/cannonfiles/sld006.htm Wind Powering America] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20050421230237/http://www.hawaii.gov/dbedt/ert/femp/cannonfiles/sld006.htm |date=2005-04-21 }}
* [https://archive.today/20121206012725/http://web.idrc.ca/en/ev-64514-201-1-DO_TOPIC.html Clean Energy for Planetary Survival: International Development Research Centre]
* [http://www.lbl.gov/Science-Articles/Archive/global-warming.html LBL Scientists Research Global Warming] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210128152810/https://www2.lbl.gov/Science-Articles/Archive/global-warming.html |date=2021-01-28 }}
* [https://web.archive.org/web/20060427053958/http://www.oit.doe.gov/e3handbook/appenf.shtml E³ Handbook]
* [https://web.archive.org/web/20061013100905/http://web.gat.com/hydrogen/images/pdf%20files/clarke_h2_energy_systems.pdf Clarke H2 energy systems]
* {{Cite web |url=http://www.amacad.org/publications/bulletin/fall2003/holdren.pdf |title=Environmental Change and the Human Condition |first1=John P. |last1=Holdren |access-date=2006-08-10 |pages=24–31 |work=Bulletin Fall |date=2003 |first2=Carl |last2=Kaysen |archive-date=2006-07-14 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20060714063924/http://www.amacad.org/publications/bulletin/fall2003/holdren.pdf }}
* {{Cite book |chapter=Exponential Expansion: Galactic Destiny or Technological Hubris? |title=The Search for Extraterrestrial Life: Recent Developments |editor1-first=B. R. |editor1-last=Finney |editor2-first=M. D. |editor2-last=Papagiannis |last=Dordrecht |first=D. |publisher=Reidel Publ. Co. |date=1985 |pages=465–463}}
* [http://www.daviddarling.info/encyclopedia/S/Shkadov.html Shkadov Thruster] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210126044726/https://www.daviddarling.info/encyclopedia/S/Shkadov.html |date=2021-01-26 }}
* {{Cite book |last1=Korotayev |first1=A. |last2=Malkov |first2=A. |last3=Khaltourina |first3=D. |title=Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Compact Macromodels of the World System Growth |url=http://urss.ru/cgi-bin/db.pl?cp=&lang=en&blang=en&list=14&page=Book&id=34250 |location=Moscow |publisher=URSS |date=2006 |isbn=978-5-484-00414-0 |access-date=2006-06-22 |archive-date=2018-01-05 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180105070139/http://urss.ru/cgi-bin/db.pl?cp=&page=Book&id=34250&lang=en&blang=en&list=14 |url-status=live}}
* {{Cite journal |last=Kardashev |first=Nikolai |title=Cosmology and Civilizations |journal=Astrophysics and Space Science |volume=252 |pages=25–40 |date=March 1997 |issue=1–2 |doi=10.1023/A:1000837427320 |bibcode=1997Ap&SS.252...25K |s2cid=117792321}}
* ''Supercivilizations as Possible Products of the Progressive Evolution of Matter'': also by Kardashev
* ''Search for Artificial Stellar Sources of Infrared Radiation'', by [[Freeman J. Dyson]]
* ''The Radio Search For Intelligent Extraterrestral Life'', by [[Frank Drake]]
* {{Cite book |first=Robert A. |last=Freitas Jr. |title=Energy and Culture (chapter 15)}}
* {{Cite book |first=John |last=Griffin |title=Operation TOGA: Type One Go Ahead |isbn=978-1-4502-0702-7 |year= 2010|publisher=iUniverse }}
{{Refend}}

== External links ==
* {{URL|http://www.daviddarling.info/encyclopedia/K/Kardashevciv.html|Kardashev civilizations}}
* {{URL|1=http://www.ibiblio.org/astrobiology/index.php?page=concepts04#1|2=Flash Animation on Civilizations}}
* {{URL|https://www.universetoday.com/153167/what-is-the-kardashev-scale/|What's the Kardashev Scale?}} by [[Universe Today]].
* {{URL|http://bigthink.com/videos/the-birth-pangs-of-a-planetary-civilization|Description of civilization types}} from Dr. [[Michio Kaku]].
* {{URL|https://www.space.com/kardashev-scale|The Kardashev scale: Classifying alien civilizations}} by [[Space.com]].
* {{URL|http://www.coseti.org/lemarch1.htm|Detectability of Extraterrestrial Technological Activities}}
* {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130514085824/http://library.thinkquest.org/C003763/index.php?page=concepts04 |title=Astrobiology: The Living Universe}}
* {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20070108010029/http://contactincontext.org/cic/v2i2/farewell.htm |title=After Kardashev: Farewell to Super Civilizations}}
* {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090220193345/http://astranaut.org/library/exotic-civilizations-beyond-ka.php |title=Exotic Civilizations: Beyond Kardashev}}
* {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150525204234/http://www.theskepticsguide.org/alien-super-civilizations-playing-great-game-of-hide-seek |title=Search for Type III civilizations}}
* {{YouTube|rhFK5_Nx9xY|What Do Alien Civilizations Look Like? The Kardashev Scale}} by [[Kurzgesagt]], explaining and [[Visualization (graphics)|visualizing]] the topic.
* {{URL|https://lancerkind.com/podcast/157-kardashev-scale-the-big-picture-on-space-civilizations/|Kardashev Scale, the big picture on space civilizations}}, an audio podcast by [[SciFi Thoughts]].
* {{URL|https://kardashevscale.volpatodavide.com/|Kardashev Scale Explorer, Explore how civilizations are classified by their energy consumption and technological advancement}}, and visual simulator of the Kardashev Scale by [[Davide Volpato]].

{{Extraterrestrial life}}
{{UFOs}}
{{technology}}

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[[Category:1964 in Russia]]
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[[Category:Energy development]]
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