Editing Extreme weather (section)

=== Attribution research ===
{{Further|Extreme event attribution}}

Generally speaking, one event in extreme weather cannot be attributed to any one cause. However, certain system wide changes to global weather systems can lead to increased frequency or intensity of extreme weather events.<ref name=":0" />

Early research in extreme weather focused on statements about predicting certain events. Contemporary research focuses more on the attribution of causes to trends in events.<ref name=":0" /> In particular the field is focusing on [[climate change]] alongside other causal factors for these events.<ref name=":0" />

A 2016 report from the [[National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine]], recommended investing in improved shared practices across the field working on attribution research, improving the connection between research outcomes and weather forecasting.<ref name=":1">{{cite report|url=https://www.nap.edu/read/21852/chapter/7|title=Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change |publisher=The National Academies Press|doi=10.17226/21852|pages=127–136|year=2016|isbn=978-0-309-38094-2|place=Washington, DC|access-date=2020-02-22|archive-date=2022-02-15|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220215232008/https://www.nap.edu/read/21852/chapter/7|url-status=live}}</ref>

As more research is done in this area, scientists have begun to investigate the connection between climate change and extreme weather events and what future impacts may arise. Much of this work is done through climate modeling. Climate models provide important predictions about the future characteristics of the atmosphere, oceans, and Earth using data collected in the modern day.<ref name=":2" /> However, while climate models are vital for studying more complex processes such as climate change or ocean acidification, they are still only approximations.<ref name=":2" /> Moreover, weather events are complex and cannot be tied to a singular cause—there are often many atmospheric variables such as temperature, pressure, or moisture to note on top of any influences from climate change or natural variability.<ref name=":2" />