Editing Capital market (section)

==Size==
{{out of date|date=November 2024}}
All figures given are in billions of [[US Dollar|US$]] and are sourced to the [[IMF]]. There is no universally recognized standard for measuring all of these figures, so other estimates may vary. A [[GDP]] column is included for comparison.
{| class="wikitable"
!Year<ref>Refer to the references used for each year to find a breakdown of capital market size for individual countries and regions.</ref>!!Stocks!!Bonds!!Bank assets<ref>Bank assets are mainly regular bank loans. The IMF reports used to source these figures do recognize the distinction between capital markets and regular bank lending, but bank assets are traditionally included in their tables on overall capital market size.</ref>!!Total of stocks,<br>bonds and<br>bank assets<ref>The table may slightly overstate the total size of the capital markets, as in some cases the IMF data used to source the reports may double-count stocks and bonds as bank assets.</ref>!!World GDP
|-

!2013<ref>{{cite web| url = https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/gfsr/2014/02/pdf/text.pdf| title = IMF Global Financial Stability Report Oct 2014}}</ref>
|62,552.00||99,788.80||120,421.60||282,762.40||74,699.30
|-

!2012<ref>{{cite web| url = https://www.imf.org/External/Pubs/FT/GFSR/2013/02/index.htm| title = IMF Global Financial Stability Report Oct 2013}}</ref>
|52,494.90||99,134.20||116,956.10||268,585.20||72,216.40
|-

!2011<ref>{{cite web| url = https://www.imf.org/External/Pubs/FT/GFSR/2012/02/index.htm| title = IMF Global Financial Stability Report Oct 2012}}</ref>
|47,089.23||98,388.10||110,378.24||255,855.57||69,899.22

|}

===Forecasting and analyses===
A great deal of work goes into analysing capital markets and predicting their future movements. This includes academic study; work within the financial industry for the purposes of making money and reducing risk; and work by governments and multilateral institutions for the purposes of regulation and understanding the impact of capital markets on the wider economy. Methods range from the gut instincts of experienced traders, to various forms of [[stochastic calculus]] and algorithms such as [[Stratonovich-Kalman-Bucy]] filtering algorithm.<ref>{{Cite news
|url= http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/79e8b8fc-7c33-11e6-ae24-f193b105145e.html |archive-url=https://ghostarchive.org/archive/20221210/http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/79e8b8fc-7c33-11e6-ae24-f193b105145e.html |archive-date=2022-12-10
|title= Man v machine: 'Gut feelings' key to financial trading success
|work= [[Financial Times]]
|author= Clive Cookson
|date= 2016-09-19
|access-date=2016-09-19
|url-access=subscription}}</ref><ref>{{cite book
| author= Paul Wilmott
| author-link= Paul Wilmott
| year=2007
| title= Paul Wilmott Introduces Quantitative Finance
| publisher= [[John Wiley & Sons|Wiley]]
| isbn= 978-0470319581
}}</ref>