Editing Political science (section)

===Anticipating crises===
The theory of political transitions,<ref>Acemoglu D., Robinson J.A. [https://www.jstor.org/stable/2677820 "A theory of political transitions."] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200809203648/https://www.jstor.org/stable/2677820 |date=9 August 2020 }} American Economic Review. 2001 Sep 1:938–63.</ref> and the methods of analyzing and anticipating<ref name=":0" /> [[Crisis|crises]],<ref>McClelland C.A. [https://www.jstor.org/stable/2600146 "The Anticipation of International Crises: Prospects for Theory and Research."] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200809211102/https://www.jstor.org/stable/2600146 |date=9 August 2020 }} International Studies Quarterly, Vol. 21, No. 1, Special Issue on International Crisis: Progress and Prospects for Applied Forecasting and Management (March 1977), pp. 15–38</ref> form an important part of political science. Several general indicators of crises and methods were proposed for anticipating critical transitions.<ref>Scheffer M., Carpenter S.R., Lenton T.M., ''et al.'' [https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.1225244 "Anticipating critical transitions."] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200904011435/https://science.sciencemag.org/content/338/6105/344 |date=4 September 2020 }} Science. 2012 Oct 19; 338(6105):344–48.</ref> Among them, one statistical indicator of crisis, a simultaneous increase of [[variance]] and [[correlations]] in large groups, was proposed for crisis anticipation and may be successfully used in various areas.<ref>{{Cite journal |last1=Gorban |first1=A.N. |last2=Smirnova |first2=E.V. |last3=Tyukina |first3=T.A. |date=August 2010 |title=Correlations, risk and crisis: From physiology to finance |url=https://www.researchgate.net/publication/222687003 |journal=Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications |volume=389 |issue=16 |pages=3193–3217 |arxiv=0905.0129 |bibcode=2010PhyA..389.3193G |doi=10.1016/j.physa.2010.03.035 |s2cid=276956 |access-date=23 May 2017 |archive-date=3 April 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220403175014/https://www.researchgate.net/publication/222687003_Correlations_Risk_and_Crisis_From_Physiology_to_Finance |url-status=live }}</ref> Its applicability for early diagnosis of [[political crisis|political crises]] was demonstrated by the analysis of the prolonged stress period preceding the 2014 Ukrainian [[economic crisis|economic]] and political crisis. There was a simultaneous increase in the total correlation between the 19 major public fears in the Ukrainian society (by about 64%) and in their statistical dispersion (by 29%) during the pre-crisis years.<ref>{{Cite journal |last1=Rybnikov |first1=S.R. |last2=Rybnikova |first2=N.A. |last3=Portnov |first3=B.A. |date=March 2017 |title=Public fears in Ukrainian society: Are crises predictable? |url=https://www.researchgate.net/publication/315918065 |journal=Psychology & Developing Societies |volume=29 |issue=1 |pages=98–123 |doi=10.1177/0971333616689398 |s2cid=151344338 |access-date=23 May 2017 |archive-date=3 April 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220403174938/https://www.researchgate.net/publication/315918065_Public_Fears_in_Ukrainian_Society_Are_Crises_Predictable |url-status=live }}</ref> A feature shared by certain major revolutions is that they were not predicted. The theory of apparent inevitability of crises and revolutions was also developed.<ref>Kuran T. [https://www.jstor.org/stable/30025019 "Sparks and prairie fires: A theory of unanticipated political revolution."] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200809121543/https://www.jstor.org/stable/30025019 |date=9 August 2020 }} Public Choice, Vol. 61, No. 1 (April 1989), pp. 41–74</ref>

The study of major crises, both political crises and external crises that can affect politics, is not limited to attempts to predict regime transitions or major changes in political institutions. Political scientists also study how governments [[disaster management|handle unexpected disasters]], and how voters in democracies react to their governments' preparations for and responses to crises.<ref>{{cite journal |author1=Andrew Healy |author2=Neil Malhotra |author-link2=Neil Malhotra |title=Myopic Voters and Natural Disaster Policy |journal=American Political Science Review |volume=103 |issue=3 |year=2009 |pages=387–406 |doi=10.1017/S0003055409990104 |s2cid=32422707}}</ref>