Editing Information Awareness Office (section)

===Futures Markets Applied to Prediction (FutureMAP)===
{{main|Future Map}}
{{further|Policy Analysis Market}}

'''Futures Markets Applied to Prediction''' ('''FutureMAP''') was intended to harness [[collective intelligence]] by researching [[prediction market]] techniques for avoiding surprise and predicting future events. The intent was to explore the feasibility of market-based trading mechanisms  to predict political instability, threats to national security, and other major events in the near future.<ref>[http://infowar.net/tia/www.darpa.mil/iao/FutureMap.htm FutureMap<!-- Bot generated title -->] {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20060205010743/http://infowar.net/tia/www.darpa.mil/iao/FutureMap.htm |date=2006-02-05 }}</ref> In layman's terms, FutureMap would be a website that allowed people to bet on when a terrorist attack would occur.<ref name="money.cnn.com">[https://money.cnn.com/2003/07/29/news/terror_futures/?cnn=yes CNN]</ref> The [[bookmaker]] would have been the federal government.<ref name="money.cnn.com"/> Several Senators were outraged at the very notion of such a program.<ref name="money.cnn.com"/> Then [[Party leaders of the United States Senate|Senate Minority Leader]] [[Tom Daschle]] said on the floor of the Senate "I couldn't believe that we would actually commit $8 million to create a Web site that would encourage investors to bet on futures involving terrorist attacks and public assassinations. ... I can't believe that anybody would seriously propose that we trade in death. ... How long would it be before you saw traders investing in a way that would bring about the desired result?"<ref name="money.cnn.com"/> Democratic Senator from [[Oregon]], Ron Wyden said, "The idea of a federal betting parlor on atrocities and terrorism is ridiculous and it's grotesque."<ref name="money.cnn.com"/> The ranking Democrat on the [[United States Senate Committee on Armed Services|Armed Services Committee]], Sen. [[Carl Levin]] of Michigan, thought the program was so ridiculous that he thought initial reports of it were the result of a hoax.<ref name="money.cnn.com"/> The program was then dropped.