Jump to content
Main menu
Main menu
move to sidebar
hide
Navigation
Main page
Recent changes
Random page
Help about MediaWiki
Special pages
Niidae Wiki
Search
Search
Appearance
Create account
Log in
Personal tools
Create account
Log in
Pages for logged out editors
learn more
Contributions
Talk
Editing
Expected value
(section)
Page
Discussion
English
Read
Edit
View history
Tools
Tools
move to sidebar
hide
Actions
Read
Edit
View history
General
What links here
Related changes
Page information
Appearance
move to sidebar
hide
Warning:
You are not logged in. Your IP address will be publicly visible if you make any edits. If you
log in
or
create an account
, your edits will be attributed to your username, along with other benefits.
Anti-spam check. Do
not
fill this in!
====Examples==== [[File:Largenumbers.svg|thumb|An illustration of the convergence of sequence averages of rolls of a dice to the expected value of 3.5 as the number of rolls (trials) grows]] * Let <math>X</math> represent the outcome of a roll of a fair six-sided die. More specifically, <math>X</math> will be the number of [[Pip (counting)|pips]] showing on the top face of the die after the toss. The possible values for <math>X</math> are 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6, all of which are equally likely with a probability of {{frac2|1|6}}. The expectation of <math>X</math> is <math display="block"> \operatorname{E}[X] = 1 \cdot \frac{1}{6} + 2 \cdot \frac{1}{6} + 3\cdot\frac{1}{6} + 4\cdot\frac{1}{6} + 5\cdot\frac{1}{6} + 6\cdot\frac{1}{6} = 3.5.</math> If one rolls the die <math>n</math> times and computes the average ([[arithmetic mean]]) of the results, then as <math>n</math> grows, the average will [[almost surely]] [[Convergent sequence|converge]] to the expected value, a fact known as the [[strong law of large numbers]]. * The [[roulette]] game consists of a small ball and a wheel with 38 numbered pockets around the edge. As the wheel is spun, the ball bounces around randomly until it settles down in one of the pockets. Suppose random variable <math>X</math> represents the (monetary) outcome of a $1 bet on a single number ("straight up" bet). If the bet wins (which happens with probability {{frac2|1|38}} in American roulette), the payoff is $35; otherwise the player loses the bet. The expected profit from such a bet will be <math display="block"> \operatorname{E}[\,\text{gain from }\$1\text{ bet}\,] = -\$1 \cdot \frac{37}{38} + \$35 \cdot \frac{1}{38} = -\$\frac{1}{19}.</math> That is, the expected value to be won from a $1 bet is β${{frac2|1|19}}. Thus, in 190 bets, the net loss will probably be about $10.
Summary:
Please note that all contributions to Niidae Wiki may be edited, altered, or removed by other contributors. If you do not want your writing to be edited mercilessly, then do not submit it here.
You are also promising us that you wrote this yourself, or copied it from a public domain or similar free resource (see
Encyclopedia:Copyrights
for details).
Do not submit copyrighted work without permission!
Cancel
Editing help
(opens in new window)
Search
Search
Editing
Expected value
(section)
Add topic