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===U.S. intelligence efforts=== The U.S. intelligence community, including the CIA, failed to predict in advance the Egyptian–Syrian attack on Israel. A U.S. intelligence report as late as 4 October still stated that "We continue to believe that an outbreak of major Arab–Israeli hostilities remains unlikely for the immediate future".<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/historical-collection-publications/arab-israeli-war/nixon-arab-isaeli-war.pdf|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20141009021459/https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/historical-collection-publications/arab-israeli-war/nixon-arab-isaeli-war.pdf|url-status=dead|title=Matthew T. Penney, "Intelligence and the 1973 Arab–Israeli War" in President Nixon and the Role of Intelligence in the 1973 Arab–Israeli War, symposium held by CIA, 30 January 2013.|archive-date=9 October 2014}}</ref> However, one U.S. government source that was able to predict the approaching war was Roger Merrick, an analyst working for the INR ([[Bureau of Intelligence and Research]] in the State Department), but his conclusions were ignored at the time, and the report he had written to that effect was only rediscovered by U.S. government archive officials in 2013.<ref>{{cite web | date = 5 March 2013 | editor= William Burr | publisher=The National Security Archive (U.S.) |title=State Department Intelligence and Research Predicted 1973 Arab–Israeli War |url=https://nsarchive2.gwu.edu/NSAEBB/NSAEBB415/ |access-date=2023-03-10 |df=dmy-all |website=nsarchive2.gwu.edu}}</ref>
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