Editing Reagan Democrat (section)

==Donald Trump and Joe Biden==
[[File:Blue Wall fall.svg|thumb|[[Donald Trump]] flipped the three Rust Belt states, which were cracked from part of the [[Blue wall (United States)|blue wall]] in [[2016 United States presidential election|2016]] and [[2024 United States presidential election|2024]], resulting in him winning the electoral college and thus the presidency twice.]]
[[File:Blue Wall states 1992-2012 map.svg|thumb|[[Joe Biden]] flipped the three Rust Belt states, which were rebuilt back to being part of the [[Blue wall (United States)|blue wall]] in [[2020 United States presidential election|2020]], resulting in him winning the electoral college and thus the presidency.]]

The term still carries relevance, since part of this group defected to Trump in the [[2016 United States presidential election]], who won every swing state in the [[Rust Belt]] and became the first Republican candidate to win [[2016 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania|Pennsylvania]] and [[2016 United States presidential election in Michigan|Michigan]] since 1988 and the first to win [[2016 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|Wisconsin]] since 1984. All of these states voted for Reagan in 1980 and 1984 but voted for Democratic U.S. Presidents Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 and Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/11/09/the-reagan-democrats-have-returned-to-the-republicans---handing/|title=The Reagan Democrats have returned to the Republicans – handing the party unprecedented power |newspaper=The Telegraph |date=9 November 2016 |access-date=March 4, 2017|last1=Bolton |first1=John }}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.nationalreview.com/article/442091/michigan-donald-trump-reagan-democrats-turn-mitten-state-red-2016|title=How Blue-Collar Democrats Turned Michigan Red for Trump |website=[[National Review]] |date=10 November 2016 |access-date=March 4, 2017}}</ref>

Following the 2016 election, which saw many Rust Belt counties turn to Trump, a Republican strategist said that the working-class Reagan Democrats who favored Trump in 2016 should now be called "Trump Republicans".<ref name="livengood20161110">{{Cite news |url=http://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/11/09/trump-won-michigan/93551192/ |title=Trump flipped 12 counties to win Michigan |last=Livengood |first=Chad |date=2016-11-10 |newspaper=The Detroit News}}</ref> Conversely, it has been suggested that Reagan Democrats did not necessarily swing the Rust Belt states in 2016 but rather that Democratic voters in those regions stayed home on election day.<ref>{{cite magazine|url=https://www.forbes.com/sites/omribenshahar/2016/11/17/the-non-voters-who-decided-the-election-trump-won-because-of-lower-democratic-turnout/#61031e5653ab|title=The Non-Voters Who Decided The Election: Trump Won Because Of Lower Democratic Turnout|author=Omri Ben-Shahar|date=2016-11-17|magazine=Forbes}}</ref><ref>{{cite magazine|url=http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2016/12/the_myth_of_the_rust_belt_revolt.html|title=The Myth of the Rust Belt Revolt|author=Konstantin Kilibarda and Daria Roithmayr|date=2016-12-01|magazine=Slate}}</ref> Trump became the first Republican presidential candidate to win all three Rust Belt states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin since Reagan in 1984.{{efn|name="Reagan"|[[Ronald Reagan]] was the last Republican presidential candidate to win the Rust Belt state of [[1984 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|Wisconsin]] in [[1984 United States presidential election|1984]].}}{{efn|name="H.W. Bush"|[[George H. W. Bush]] was the last Republican presidential candidate to win the Rust Belt states of [[1988 United States presidential election in Michigan|Michigan]] and [[1988 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania|Pennsylvania]] in [[1988 United States presidential election|1988]].}}

In a 2021 profile with ''[[Politico]]'', [[Stan Greenberg]] used the term "Biden Republican" to identify a large bloc of suburban white collar voters who chose [[Joe Biden]] over Trump in the [[2020 United States presidential election]]. Greenberg highlighted that these voters have been reliably Republican for decades but were inclined to vote for the Democratic nominee because of the [[Nativism in United States politics|nativism]] of [[Trumpism]].<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2021/03/04/reagan-democrats-biden-republicans-politics-stan-greenberg-473330|title=The Rise of the Biden Republicans|first=Zack|last=Stanton|website=Politico|date=March 4, 2021|access-date=January 16, 2025 }}</ref> Following the [[2024 United States presidential election]], Trump flipped all three Rust Belt states of [[2024 United States presidential election in Michigan|Michigan]], [[2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania|Pennsylvania]], and [[2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin|Wisconsin]] again. With Trump's [[United States Electoral College|Electoral College]] victories in 2016 and 2024, he became the first Republican presidential candidate to win all three Rust Belt states twice since Reagan in 1980 and 1984.{{efn|name="W. Bush"|[[George W. Bush]] was the only Republican presidential candidate who was able to narrowly win the electoral college and thus the presidency twice in [[2000 United States presidential election|2000]] and [[2004 United States presidential election|2004]] without carrying any of the three Rust Belt states.}}