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===The solvency of the Medicare HI trust fund=== This measure involves only Medicare Part A. The trust fund is considered insolvent when available revenue plus any existing balances will not cover 100 percent of annual projected costs. According to the 2018 estimate by the Medicare trustees, the trust fund was expected to become insolvent in 8 years (2026), at which time available revenue will cover around 85 percent of annual projected costs for Part A services.<ref name="ReferenceB">{{cite web|url=https://www.cms.gov/ReportsTrustFunds/downloads/tr2016.pdf |title=2016 Annual Report of the Boards of Trustees of the Federal Hospital Insurance and Federal Supplementary Medical Insurance Trust Funds |date=2016 |website=Cms.gov |access-date=2019-06-14}}</ref> Since Medicare began, this solvency projection has ranged from two to 28 years, with an average of 11.3 years.<ref>{{cite web |url=https://fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/RS20946.pdf |title=Medicare: Insolvency Projections |at=Graph on Page 4 |date=October 25, 2021 |access-date=August 30, 2013}}</ref> This and other projections in Medicare Trustees reports are based on what its actuaries call the intermediate scenario but the reports also include worst-case and best-case projections that are quite different (other scenarios presume Congress will change present law).
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