Editing Deflation (section)

====Major deflations in the United States====
There have been four significant periods of deflation in the United States.

The first and most severe was during the depression in 1818–1821 when prices of agricultural commodities declined by almost 50%. A credit contraction caused by a financial crisis in England drained specie out of the U.S. The Bank of the United States also contracted its lending. The price of agricultural commodities fell by almost 50% from the high in 1815 to the low in 1821, and did not recover until the late 1830s, although to a significantly lower price level. Most damaging was the price of cotton, the U.S.'s main export. Food crop prices, which had been high because of the famine of 1816 that was caused by the [[year without a summer]], fell after the return of normal harvests in 1818. Improved transportation, mainly from turnpikes, and to a minor extent the introduction of steamboats, significantly lowered transportation costs.<ref name="Taylor 1951">{{cite book |title=The Transportation Revolution, 1815–1860 |last=Taylor |first= George Rogers |year=1951 |publisher = Rinehart & Co. |location=New York |volume=IV |series=The Economic History of the United States |isbn= 978-0-87332-101-3 |pages=133, 331–334 |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=qjbLCQAAQBAJ&pg=PP1}}
</ref>

The second was the depression of the late 1830s to 1843, following the [[Panic of 1837]], when the currency in the United States contracted by about 34% with prices falling by 33%. The magnitude of this contraction is only matched by the Great Depression.<ref name="Atack1994">{{cite book |title      = A New Economic View of American History |last1 = Atack |first1 = Jeremy |last2 = Passell |first2 = Peter |year = 1994 |publisher = W.W. Norton and Co. |location = New York |isbn = 0-393-96315-2 |page = [https://archive.org/details/neweconomicviewo00atac/page/102 102] |url-access = registration |url = https://archive.org/details/neweconomicviewo00atac/page/102}}</ref> (See: {{section link|#Historical examples of credit deflation}}.) This "deflation" satisfies both definitions, that of a decrease in prices and a decrease in the available quantity of money. Despite the deflation and depression, GDP rose 16% from 1839 to 1843.<ref name="Atack1994"/>

The third was after the [[United States Civil War|Civil War]], sometimes called [[The Great Deflation]]. It was possibly spurred by return to a gold standard, retiring paper money printed during the Civil War:

{{blockquote|The Great Sag of 1873–96 could be near the top of the list. Its scope was global. It featured cost-cutting and productivity-enhancing technologies. It flummoxed the experts with its persistence, and it resisted attempts by politicians to understand it, let alone reverse it. It delivered a generation's worth of rising bond prices, as well as the usual losses to unwary creditors via defaults and early calls. Between 1875 and 1896, according to [[Milton Friedman]], prices fell in the United States by 1.7% a year, and in Britain by 0.8% a year. |source=''Grant's Interest Rate Observer'', 10 March 2006<ref>{{cite web |title=Inflation, ho! (a primer on deflation) |date=23 May 2003 |author=<!--Staff writer(s); no by-line--> |work=Grant's Interest Rate Observer |url=http://www.grantspub.com/articles/inflation/ |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20060228210300/http://www.grantspub.com/articles/inflation/ |archive-date=28 February 2006}}</ref>}}

(Note: [[David Ames Wells|David A. Wells]] (1890) gives an account of the period and discusses the great advances in productivity which Wells argues were the cause of the deflation. The productivity gains matched the deflation.<ref>{{cite book
|title=Recent Economic Changes and Their Effect on Production and Distribution of Wealth and Well-Being of Society
|last=Wells
|first=David A.
|year=1890 |publisher= D. Appleton and Co.|location= New York|isbn= 0-543-72474-3 |url= https://archive.org/details/recenteconomicc01wellgoog
}}</ref> Murray Rothbard (2002) gives a similar account.<ref>{{cite book
|title=History of Money and Banking in the United States
|url=https://archive.org/details/historymoneybank00roth_947
|url-access=limited
|last=Rothbard
|first=Murray
|year=2002|publisher= Ludwig Von Mises Institute |isbn= 0-945466-33-1 |pages=[https://archive.org/details/historymoneybank00roth_947/page/n163 164]–8 }}</ref>)

The fourth was in 1930–1933 when the rate of deflation was approximately 10 percent/year, part of the United States' slide into the [[Great Depression]], where banks failed and [[unemployment]] peaked at 25%.

The deflation of the Great Depression occurred partly because there was an enormous contraction of [[Credit (finance)|credit]] (money), [[bankruptcies]] creating an environment where [[monetary base|cash]] was in frantic demand, and when the [[Federal Reserve]] was supposed to accommodate that demand, it instead contracted the money supply by 30% in enforcement of its new [[real bills doctrine]], so banks failed one by one (because they were unable to meet the sudden demand for cash{{snd}}see [[Bank run]]). From the standpoint of the [[Fisher equation]] (see above), there was a simultaneous drop both in money supply (credit) and the [[velocity of money]] which was so profound that price deflation took hold despite the increases in money supply spurred by the Federal Reserve.