Jump to content
Main menu
Main menu
move to sidebar
hide
Navigation
Main page
Recent changes
Random page
Help about MediaWiki
Special pages
Niidae Wiki
Search
Search
Appearance
Create account
Log in
Personal tools
Create account
Log in
Pages for logged out editors
learn more
Contributions
Talk
Editing
Independence (probability theory)
(section)
Page
Discussion
English
Read
Edit
View history
Tools
Tools
move to sidebar
hide
Actions
Read
Edit
View history
General
What links here
Related changes
Page information
Appearance
move to sidebar
hide
Warning:
You are not logged in. Your IP address will be publicly visible if you make any edits. If you
log in
or
create an account
, your edits will be attributed to your username, along with other benefits.
Anti-spam check. Do
not
fill this in!
===For events=== ====Two events==== Two events <math>A</math> and <math>B</math> are independent (often written as <math>A \perp B</math> or <math>A \perp\!\!\!\perp B</math>, where the latter symbol often is also used for [[conditional independence]]) if and only if their [[joint probability]] equals the product of their probabilities:<ref name=Florescu>{{cite book | author=Florescu, Ionut| title=Probability and Stochastic Processes| publisher=Wiley| year=2014 | isbn=978-0-470-62455-5}}</ref>{{rp|p. 29}}<ref name=Gallager/>{{rp|p. 10}} {{Equation box 1 |indent = |title= |equation = {{NumBlk||<math>\mathrm{P}(A \cap B) = \mathrm{P}(A)\mathrm{P}(B)</math>|{{EquationRef|Eq.1}}}} |cellpadding= 6 |border |border colour = #0073CF |background colour=#F5FFFA}} <math>A \cap B \neq \emptyset</math> indicates that two independent events <math>A</math> and <math>B</math> have common elements in their [[sample space]] so that they are not [[Mutual exclusivity|mutually exclusive]] (mutually exclusive iff <math>A \cap B = \emptyset</math>). Why this defines independence is made clear by rewriting with [[Conditional probability|conditional probabilities]] <math>P(A \mid B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)}</math> as the probability at which the event <math>A</math> occurs provided that the event <math>B</math> has or is assumed to have occurred: :<math>\mathrm{P}(A \cap B) = \mathrm{P}(A)\mathrm{P}(B) \iff \mathrm{P}(A\mid B) = \frac{\mathrm{P}(A \cap B)}{\mathrm{P}(B)} = \mathrm{P}(A).</math> and similarly :<math>\mathrm{P}(A \cap B) = \mathrm{P}(A)\mathrm{P}(B) \iff\mathrm{P}(B\mid A) = \frac{\mathrm{P}(A \cap B)}{\mathrm{P}(A)} = \mathrm{P}(B).</math> Thus, the occurrence of <math>B</math> does not affect the probability of <math>A</math>, and vice versa. In other words, <math>A</math> and <math>B</math> are independent of each other. Although the derived expressions may seem more intuitive, they are not the preferred definition, as the conditional probabilities may be undefined if <math>\mathrm{P}(A)</math> or <math>\mathrm{P}(B)</math> are 0. Furthermore, the preferred definition makes clear by symmetry that when <math>A</math> is independent of <math>B</math>, <math>B</math> is also independent of <math>A</math>. ====Odds==== Stated in terms of [[odds]], two events are independent if and only if the [[odds ratio]] of {{tmath|A}} and {{tmath|B}} is unity (1). Analogously with probability, this is equivalent to the conditional odds being equal to the unconditional odds: :<math>O(A \mid B) = O(A) \text{ and } O(B \mid A) = O(B),</math> or to the odds of one event, given the other event, being the same as the odds of the event, given the other event not occurring: :<math>O(A \mid B) = O(A \mid \neg B) \text{ and } O(B \mid A) = O(B \mid \neg A).</math> The odds ratio can be defined as :<math>O(A \mid B) : O(A \mid \neg B),</math> or symmetrically for odds of {{tmath|B}} given {{tmath|A}}, and thus is 1 if and only if the events are independent. ====More than two events==== A finite set of events <math>\{ A_i \} _{i=1}^{n}</math> is [[Pairwise independence|pairwise independent]] if every pair of events is independent<ref name ="Feller">{{cite book | last = Feller | first = W | year = 1971 | title = An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications | publisher = [[John Wiley & Sons|Wiley]] | chapter = Stochastic Independence}}</ref>—that is, if and only if for all distinct pairs of indices <math>m,k</math>, {{Equation box 1 |indent = |title= |equation = {{NumBlk||<math>\mathrm{P}(A_m \cap A_k) = \mathrm{P}(A_m)\mathrm{P}(A_k)</math>|{{EquationRef|Eq.2}}}} |cellpadding= 6 |border |border colour = #0073CF |background colour=#F5FFFA}} A finite set of events is '''mutually independent''' if every event is independent of any intersection of the other events<ref name="Feller" /><ref name=Gallager/>{{rp|p. 11}}—that is, if and only if for every <math>k \leq n</math> and for every k indices <math>1\le i_1 < \dots < i_k \le n</math>, {{Equation box 1 |indent = |title= |equation = {{NumBlk||<math>\mathrm{P}\left(\bigcap_{j=1}^k A_{i_j} \right)=\prod_{j=1}^k \mathrm{P}(A_{i_j} )</math>|{{EquationRef|Eq.3}}}} |cellpadding= 6 |border |border colour = #0073CF |background colour=#F5FFFA}} This is called the ''multiplication rule'' for independent events. It is [[#Triple-independence but no pairwise-independence|not a single condition]] involving only the product of all the probabilities of all single events; it must hold true for all subsets of events. For more than two events, a mutually independent set of events is (by definition) pairwise independent; but the converse is [[#Pairwise and mutual independence|not necessarily true]].<ref name=Florescu/>{{rp|p. 30}} ====Log probability and information content==== Stated in terms of [[log probability]], two events are independent if and only if the log probability of the joint event is the sum of the log probability of the individual events: :<math>\log \mathrm{P}(A \cap B) = \log \mathrm{P}(A) + \log \mathrm{P}(B)</math> In [[information theory]], negative log probability is interpreted as [[information content]], and thus two events are independent if and only if the information content of the combined event equals the sum of information content of the individual events: :<math>\mathrm{I}(A \cap B) = \mathrm{I}(A) + \mathrm{I}(B)</math> See ''{{slink|Information content|Additivity of independent events}}'' for details.
Summary:
Please note that all contributions to Niidae Wiki may be edited, altered, or removed by other contributors. If you do not want your writing to be edited mercilessly, then do not submit it here.
You are also promising us that you wrote this yourself, or copied it from a public domain or similar free resource (see
Encyclopedia:Copyrights
for details).
Do not submit copyrighted work without permission!
Cancel
Editing help
(opens in new window)
Search
Search
Editing
Independence (probability theory)
(section)
Add topic