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=== 2014 === In 2014, Michael J. Mills (at the US [[National Center for Atmospheric Research]], NCAR), et al., published "Multi-decadal global cooling and unprecedented ozone loss following a regional nuclear conflict" in the journal ''Earth's Future''.<ref>{{cite journal |last1=Mills |first1=Michael J. |last2=Toon |first2=O. B. |last3=Lee-Taylor |first3=J. |last4=Robock |first4=A. |date=2014 |title=Multi-decadal global cooling and unprecedented ozone loss following a regional nuclear conflict |journal=Earth's Future |volume=2 |issue=4 |pages=161β176 |bibcode=2014EaFut...2..161M |doi=10.1002/2013EF000205|s2cid=9582735 }}</ref> The authors used computational models developed by NCAR to simulate the climatic effects of a soot cloud that they suggest would be a result of a regional nuclear war in which 100 "small" (15 Kt) weapons are detonated over cities. The model had outputs, due to the interaction of the soot cloud: <blockquote>...global ozone losses of 20β50% over populated areas, levels unprecedented in human history, would accompany the coldest average surface temperatures in the last 1000 years. We calculate summer enhancements in UV indices of 30β80% over Mid-Latitudes, suggesting widespread damage to human health, agriculture, and terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems. Killing frosts would reduce growing seasons by 10β40 days per year for 5 years. Surface temperatures would be reduced for more than 25 years, due to thermal inertia and albedo effects in the ocean and expanded sea ice. The combined cooling and enhanced UV would put significant pressures on global food supplies and could trigger a global nuclear famine.</blockquote>
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