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===Deliberation and decision=== [[Deliberation]] is an important form of practical thinking. It aims at formulating possible courses of action and assessing their value by considering the reasons for and against them.<ref>{{cite journal |last1=Arpaly |first1=N. |last2=Schroeder |first2=T. |title=Deliberation and Acting for Reasons |journal=Philosophical Review |date=2012 |volume=121 |issue=2 |pages=209–239 |doi=10.1215/00318108-1539089 |url=https://philpapers.org/rec/ARPDAA}}</ref> This involves foresight to anticipate what might happen. Based on this foresight, different courses of action can be formulated in order to influence what will happen. Decisions are an important part of deliberation. They are about comparing alternative courses of action and choosing the most favorable one.<ref name="Vinacke"/><ref name="BorchertThinking"/> [[Decision theory]] is a formal model of how ideal rational agents would make decisions.<ref name="Kazdin"/><ref name="Steele">{{cite web |last1=Steele |first1=Katie |last2=Stefánsson |first2=H. Orri |title=Decision Theory |url=https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/decision-theory/ |website=The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy |publisher=Metaphysics Research Lab, Stanford University |access-date=24 October 2021 |date=2020}}</ref><ref name="Buchak">{{cite book |author-link=Lara Buchak|last1=Buchak |first1=Lara |title=The Oxford Handbook of Probability and Philosophy |date=2016 |publisher=Oxford University Press |url=https://philpapers.org/rec/BUCDT |chapter=Decision Theory}}</ref> It is based on the idea that they should always choose the alternative with the highest expected value. Each alternative can lead to various possible outcomes, each of which has a different value. The expected value of an alternative consists in the sum of the values of each outcome associated with it multiplied by the probability that this outcome occurs.<ref name="Steele"/><ref name="Buchak"/> According to decision theory, a decision is rational if the agent chooses the alternative associated with the highest expected value, as assessed from the agent's own perspective.<ref name="Steele"/><ref name="Buchak"/> Various theorists emphasize the practical nature of thought, i.e. that thinking is usually guided by some kind of task it aims to solve. In this sense, thinking has been compared to trial-and-error seen in animal behavior when faced with a new problem. On this view, the important difference is that this process happens inwardly as a form of simulation.<ref name="BritannicaThought"/> This process is often much more efficient since once the solution is found in thought, only the behavior corresponding to the found solution has to be outwardly carried out and not all the others.<ref name="BritannicaThought"/>
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