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===2007: Elections=== On 26 January 2007, President Kibaki declared his intention of running for re-election in the [[2007 Kenyan presidential election|2007 presidential election]].<ref>Martin Mutua and PPS. {{cite web|url=http://www.eastandard.net/hm_news/news.php?articleid=1143964123 |title=Kibaki declares he is ready for a second presidential term |access-date=4 June 2012 |url-status=usurped |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20070129085518/http://www.eastandard.net/hm_news/news.php?articleid=1143964123 |archive-date=29 January 2007 }} ''The Standard''. 27 January 2007</ref> On 16 September 2007, Kibaki announced that he would stand as the candidate of a new alliance incorporating all the parties who supported his re-election, called the [[Party of National Unity (Kenya)|Party of National Unity]]. The parties in his alliance included the much diminished former ruling [[Kenya African National Union|KANU]],<ref>[http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/09/16/africa/AF-POL-Kenya-Elections.php "Kenyan president announces new party affiliation for re-election bid"] {{webarchive |url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080119123552/http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/09/16/africa/AF-POL-Kenya-Elections.php |date=19 January 2008 }}, Associated Press (''International Herald Tribune''), 16 September 2007.</ref><ref name=Eyes>[http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6997659.stm "Kenya president eyes re-election"] {{webarchive |url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160321211306/http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/6997659.stm |date=21 March 2016 }}, BBC News, 16 September 2007.</ref> [[Democratic Party (Kenya)|DP]], [[Narc-Kenya]], [[Ford-Kenya]], [[Forum for the Restoration of Democracy-People|Ford People]], and [[Shirikisho]].<ref name=Eyes/> Kibaki's main opponent, [[Raila Odinga]], had used the referendum victory to launch the [[Orange Democratic Movement|ODM]], which nominated him as its presidential candidate for the 2007 elections. On 30 September 2007, President Kibaki launched his presidential campaign at [[Nyayo Stadium]], Nairobi.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.news24.com/News24/Africa/News/0%2C%2C2-11-1447_2193347%2C00.html |title=Kibaki: I deserve another term |access-date=5 March 2008 |url-status=bot: unknown |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080305163915/http://www.news24.com/News24/Africa/News/0%2C%2C2-11-1447_2193347%2C00.html |archive-date=5 March 2008 }}, AFP via News24.com, 30 September 2007.</ref> [[Kalonzo Musyoka]] then broke away from Raila's [[Orange Democratic Movement|ODM]] to mount his own fringe bid for the presidency, thus narrowing down the contest between the main candidates, Kibaki, the incumbent, and Odinga.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://forums.csis.org/africa/?p=73|title=Too Close to Call: Why Kibaki Might Lose the 2007 Kenyan Election|publisher=Center for Strategic and International Studies|access-date=1 June 2010|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20090903010710/http://forums.csis.org/africa/?p=73|archive-date=3 September 2009}}</ref> Opinion polls up to election day showed Kibaki behind [[Raila Odinga]] nationally, but closing. On regional analysis, the polls showed him behind Raila in all regions of the country except [[Central Province (Kenya)|Central Province]], [[Embu, Kenya|Embu]], and [[Meru County|Meru]], where he was projected to take most of the votes, and behind Kalonzo Musyoka in Kalonzo's native [[Ukambani]].<ref>Stefan Dercon (Oxford University), Michael Bratton (Michigan State University), Mwangi Kimenyi (University of Connecticut), Roxana Gutierrez-Romero (Oxford University) and Tessa Bold (Oxford University). [http://www.economics.ox.ac.uk/Members/tessa.bold/work/EthnicityNote.pdf Ethnicity, Violence and the 2007 Elections in Kenya] {{webarchive |url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110622005457/http://www.economics.ox.ac.uk/Members/tessa.bold/work/EthnicityNote.pdf |date=22 June 2011 }}. 8 January 2008</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L30167768.htm|title=A Thomson Reuters Foundation Service|publisher=AlertNet|date=6 November 2011|access-date=19 November 2011}}</ref><!--It was thus projected to be a close election between Kibaki and Raila.-->
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