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=== Mathematical models of the minimum wage and frictional labor markets === The following mathematical models are more quantitative in orientation, and highlight some of the difficulties in determining the impact of the minimum wage on labor market outcomes.<ref>{{Cite book|url=https://mitpress.mit.edu/books/labor-economics-second-edition|title=Labor Economics|last1=Cahuc|first1=Pierre|last2=Carcillo|first2=Stéphane|last3=Zylberberg|first3=André|publisher=The MIT Press|year=2014|isbn=9780262027700|edition=2nd|location=Cambridge, MA|pages=796–799}}</ref> Specifically, these models focus on labor markets with frictions and may result in positive or negative outcomes from raising the minimum wage, depending on the circumstances. ==== Welfare and labor market participation ==== {{technical|section|date=September 2022}} Assume that the decision to participate in the labor market results from a trade-off between being an unemployed job seeker and not participating at all. All individuals whose expected utility outside the labor market is less than the expected utility of an unemployed person <math>V_{u}</math> decide to participate in the labor market. In the basic search and [[Matching theory (economics)|matching model]], the expected utility of unemployed persons <math>V_{u}</math> and that of employed persons <math>V_{e}</math> are defined by: <math display="block">\begin{aligned} rV_{e} &= w + q(V_{u}-V_{e}) \\ rV_{u} &= z + \theta m(\theta) (V_{e}-V_{u}) \end{aligned}</math>Let <math>w</math> be the wage, <math>r</math> the interest rate, <math>z</math> the instantaneous income of unemployed persons, <math>q</math> the exogenous job destruction rate, <math>\theta</math> the labor market tightness, and <math>\theta m(\theta)</math> the job finding rate. The profits <math>\Pi_{e}</math> and <math>\Pi_{v}</math> expected from a filled job and a vacant one are:<math display="block">r\Pi_{e} = y-w+q(\Pi_{v}-\Pi_{e}), \quad r\Pi_{v} = -h + m(\theta)(\Pi_{e}-\Pi_{v})</math>where <math>h</math> is the cost of a vacant job and <math>y</math> is the productivity. When the ''free entry condition'' <math>\Pi_{v} = 0</math> is satisfied, these two equalities yield the following relationship between the wage <math>w</math> and labor market tightness <math>\theta</math>: {{Labor|expanded=rights|sp=us}} <math display="block">{h\over{m(\theta)}} = {y-w\over{r+q}}</math>If <math>w</math> represents a minimum wage that applies to all workers, this equation completely determines the equilibrium value of the labor market tightness <math>\theta</math>. There are two conditions associated with the matching function:<math display="block">m'(\theta) < 0, \quad [\theta m(\theta)]' > 0</math>This implies that <math>\theta</math> is a decreasing function of the minimum wage <math>w</math>, and so is the job finding rate <math>\alpha = \theta m(\theta)</math>. A hike in the minimum wage degrades the profitability of a job, so firms post fewer vacancies and the job finding rate falls off. Now let's rewrite <math>rV_{u}</math> to be:<math display="block">rV_{u} = {(r+q)z + \theta m(\theta) w\over{r+q + \theta m(\theta)}}</math>Using the relationship between the wage and labor market tightness to eliminate the wage from the last equation gives us: <math display="block">rV_{u} = {\theta m(\theta)y + (r+q)z - \theta(r+q)h\over{r+q + \theta m(\theta)}}</math> By maximizing <math>rV_{u}</math> in this equation, with respect to the labor market tightness, it follows that:<math display="block">{[1-\eta(\theta)](y-z)\over{r+q+\eta(\theta)\theta m(\theta)}} = {h\over{m(\theta)}}</math>where <math>\eta(\theta)</math> is the [[Elasticity (economics)|elasticity]] of the matching function:<math display="block">\eta(\theta) = -\theta{m'(\theta)\over{m(\theta)}} \equiv -\theta {d\over{d\theta}}\log m(\theta)</math>This result shows that the expected utility of unemployed workers is maximized when the minimum wage is set at a level that corresponds to the wage level of the decentralized economy in which the bargaining power parameter is equal to the elasticity <math>\eta(\theta)</math>. The level of the negotiated wage is <math>w^{*}</math>. If <math>w < w^{*}</math>, then an increase in the minimum wage increases participation ''and'' the unemployment rate, with an ambiguous impact on employment. When the bargaining power of workers is less than <math>\eta(\theta)</math>, an increase in the minimum wage improves the welfare of the unemployed – this suggests that minimum wage hikes can improve labor market efficiency, at least up to the point when bargaining power equals <math>\eta(\theta)</math>. On the other hand, if <math>w \geq w^{*}</math>, any increases in the minimum wage entails a decline in labor market participation and an increase in unemployment.{{disputed-inline|Math in the Welfare and labor market participation section|date=April 2025}} ==== Job search effort ==== {{technical|section|date=September 2022}} In the model just presented, the minimum wage always increases unemployment. This result does not necessarily hold when the search effort of workers is [[Endogeneity (econometrics)|endogenous]]. Consider a model where the intensity of the job search is designated by the scalar <math>\epsilon</math>, which can be interpreted as the amount of time and/or intensity of the effort devoted to search. Assume that the arrival rate of job offers is <math>\alpha\epsilon</math> and that the wage distribution is degenerated to a single wage <math>w</math>. Denote <math>\varphi(\epsilon)</math> to be the cost arising from the search effort, with <math>\varphi' > 0, \; \varphi'' > 0</math>. Then the discounted utilities are given by:<math display="block">\begin{aligned} rV_{e} &= w + q(V_{u}-V_{e}) \\ rV_{u} &= \max_{\epsilon} \; z - \varphi(\epsilon) + \alpha \epsilon(V_{e}-V_{u}) \end{aligned}</math>Therefore, the optimal search effort is such that the marginal cost of performing the search is equation to the marginal return:<math display="block">\varphi'(\epsilon) = \alpha(V_{e}-V_{u})</math>This implies that the optimal search effort increases as the difference between the expected utility of the job holder and the expected utility of the job seeker grows. In fact, this difference actually grows with the wage. To see this, take the difference of the two discounted utilities to find:<math display="block">(r+q)(V_{e}-V_{u}) = w-\max_{\epsilon}\left[z - \varphi(\epsilon) + \alpha \epsilon(V_{e}-V_{u}) \right]</math>Then differentiating with respect to <math>w</math> and rearranging gives us:<math display="block">{d\over{dw}}(V_{e}-V_{u}) = {1\over{r+q+\alpha\epsilon^{*}}} > 0</math>where <math>\epsilon^{*}</math> is the optimal search effort. This implies that a wage increase drives up job search effort and, therefore, the job finding rate. Additionally, the unemployment rate <math>u</math> at equilibrium is given by:<math display="block">u = {q\over{q+\alpha\epsilon}}</math>A hike in the wage, which increases the search effort and the job finding rate, decreases the unemployment rate. So it is possible that a hike in the minimum wage ''may'', by boosting the search effort of job seekers, boost employment. Taken in sum with the previous section, the minimum wage in labor markets with frictions can improve employment and decrease the unemployment rate when it is sufficiently low. However, a high minimum wage is detrimental to employment and increases the unemployment rate.
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